CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0e5513d5743f5c3164be0b41d488feca57ca72b75bf2b7278c3c349d93b933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- shimmerof Atrix Esports, shimmer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked shimmer | 64c | 2,401$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.43 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Atrix Esports | 35c | 1,041$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed shimmer | 65c | 842.49$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 803.27$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed shimmer | 59c | 652.4$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Atrix Esports | 51c | 595.13$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atrix Esports | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atrix Esports | 43c | 495.44$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed shimmer | 24c | 437.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atrix Esports | 45c | 338.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Atrix Esports | 46c | 324.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Atrix Esports | 46c | 324$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atrix Esports | 45c | 317.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked shimmer | 53c | 263.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Atrix Esports | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Atrix Esports | 41c | 235$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Atrix Esports | 35c | 215$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Atrix Esports | 32c | 205.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atrix Esports | 59c | 204.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed shimmer | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked shimmer | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed shimmer | 53c | 188.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked shimmer | 53c | 184.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked shimmer | 50c | 151.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Atrix Esports | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed shimmer | 49c | 113.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked shimmer | 58c | 111.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked shimmer | 78c | 106.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed shimmer | 56c | 88.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed shimmer | 61c | 80.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked shimmer | 50c | 80.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked shimmer | 77c | 76.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked shimmer | 44c | 72.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked shimmer | 53c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e9f0backed shimmer | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked shimmer | 66c | 52.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Atrix Esports | 64c | 52.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Atrix Esports | 29c | 50.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked shimmer | 31c | 43.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked shimmer | 53c | 41.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atrix Esports | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed shimmer | 46c | 38.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Atrix Esports | 61c | 37.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked shimmer | 45c | 37.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 35.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed shimmer | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked shimmer | 60c | 27.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked shimmer | 52c | 27.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed shimmer | 63c | 26.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atrix Esports | 44c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed shimmer | 51c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked shimmer | 45c | 22.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…4834backed shimmer | 77c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsshimmer won
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 1 WinnerAtrix Esports won
- Map Handicap: ATRIX (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)shimmer won
- Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5)Atrix Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.