CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5964a2c55773105433584048f4ad7a626e2cd0668e6f7999a5cb8fae9839ecd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atrix Esportsof shimmer, Atrix Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked shimmer | 49c | 5,080$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.71 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Atrix Esports | 52c | 3,370$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.99 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked shimmer | 50c | 3,036$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.99 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed shimmer | 57c | 2,251$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.03 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Atrix Esports | 48c | 1,825$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.15 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Atrix Esports | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked shimmer | 53c | 1,258$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.2 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 1,202$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.41 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Atrix Esports | 50c | 827.79$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.64 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Atrix Esports | 40c | 777.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a4…5c48backed shimmer | 67c | 743.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Atrix Esports | 40c | 725.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.61 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed shimmer | 62c | 686.62$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.71 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Atrix Esports | 50c | 574.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.72 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 537.97$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Atrix Esports | 51c | 494.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Atrix Esports | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked shimmer | 48c | 396.22$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Atrix Esports | 41c | 377.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed shimmer | 47c | 342.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Atrix Esports | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed shimmer | 54c | 271.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Atrix Esports | 53c | 268.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Atrix Esports | 48c | 257$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Atrix Esports | 38c | 237$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Atrix Esports | 59c | 218.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…8677backed Atrix Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Atrix Esports | 54c | 205$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed shimmer | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked shimmer | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Atrix Esports | 46c | 195.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 169.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Atrix Esports | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed shimmer | 47c | 145.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed shimmer | 47c | 135.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed shimmer | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed Atrix Esports | 63c | 127.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Atrix Esports | 22c | 115.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed shimmer | 47c | 108.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Atrix Esports | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Atrix Esports | 38c | 98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Atrix Esports | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Atrix Esports | 54c | 81.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…701bbacked Atrix Esports | 53c | 79.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed shimmer | 54c | 75.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…d89abacked Atrix Esports | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Atrix Esports | 67c | 71.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Atrix Esports | 53c | 68.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Atrix Esports | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Atrix Esports | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Atrix Esports | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked shimmer | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Atrix Esports | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Atrix Esports | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed shimmer | 49c | 42.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Atrix Esports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Atrix Esports | 77c | 35.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Atrix Esports | 53c | 34.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…fc36backed Atrix Esports | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed shimmer | 46c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atrix Esports | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsshimmer won
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 1 WinnerAtrix Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winnershimmer won
- Map Handicap: ATRIX (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)shimmer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.