TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,905 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x62f2…07f8backed MOUZ36c57,883$20,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,802.4214253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports58c53,817$31,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,411.2854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ44c49,531$21,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,827.9355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports60c14,117$8,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,684.732,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports61c8,956$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.586949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a6…61a6backed MOUZ35c8,791$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports58c8,586$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.639636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports64c8,409$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.8351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e6c…2e30backed Tundra Esports65c7,691$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports57c6,148$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.978749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports65c6,057$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.9566662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports61c5,988$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.818746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ40c5,186$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.221,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…fb00backed MOUZ22c4,466$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports74c4,350$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.634468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports60c4,213$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.971,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ11c4,101$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.380443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports51c3,484$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.0533041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports60c3,374$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.341,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ37c3,162$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55db…8db6backed Tundra Esports61c2,876$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports60c2,786$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.2496557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ32c2,614$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.1851049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tundra Esports64c2,440$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87412654.8%69 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports67c2,196$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.281,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports49c1,949$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ40c1,855$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9132854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports50c1,708$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.0899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Tundra Esports67c1,689$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.371136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ33c1,627$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.9513045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports60c1,593$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.462,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed MOUZ15c1,357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked MOUZ37c1,338$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.925932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Tundra Esports66c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44223650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ42c1,296$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed MOUZ35c1,243$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0816147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Tundra Esports66c1,211$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.66785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports61c1,203$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.361,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed MOUZ41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ41c1,188$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.057935.4%28 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports67c1,187$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.271,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f2…5903backed Tundra Esports65c1,100$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports61c1,032$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.2144149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ2c1,023$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2740014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports56c1,011$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6846649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports70c973.94$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ32c952.69$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed MOUZ46c947.43$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.818251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports63c916.64$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.471,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports59c887.46$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6636343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ6c849.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.86132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports66c840.25$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.694654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ48c820.29$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5516550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Tundra Esports59c807.42$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4215345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ46c774.93$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1611549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked MOUZ48c766.54$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.76753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ44c756$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports64c706.22$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6412661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ2c699.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.785910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ46c673.97$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7133645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ35c623.07$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0755751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Tundra Esports64c622.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1419162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports63c606.08$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6245046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ36c600$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports49c590.55$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports55c590.44$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2672035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ44c588.21$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6357654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Tundra Esports66c539$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.266650%33 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c01…8c6cbacked Tundra Esports50c532.34$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.574452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed MOUZ37c520.26$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.729544.2%42 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked MOUZ18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports54c491.7$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9338653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ38c491.51$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked MOUZ47c467.71$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.125349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Tundra Esports65c465.85$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.993151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Tundra Esports63c460$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.237047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf012…8a8ebacked Tundra Esports67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports68c441.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ47c436.49$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5213247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ32c432.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5556542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports56c425$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2531245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked MOUZ33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed MOUZ38c395.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports57c359.86$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7465441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports54c358.22$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0325147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked MOUZ4c350$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.186224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked MOUZ44c321$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2416932.5%55 W · 114 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed MOUZ48c317.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0411450%57 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c3acbacked Tundra Esports65c306.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Tundra Esports51c305.88$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8854753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2465625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.860251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Tundra Esports58c299.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked MOUZ44c297.24$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.328257.3%47 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports50c295$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.550053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Tundra Esports62c288.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.727560%45 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.