Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x664e4945659fd5f922711beda76a1fd310a9162c6cb47b1413265e15e4faeb6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed MOUZ | 36c | 57,883$20,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,802.42 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 53,817$31,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,411.28 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 44c | 49,531$21,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,827.93 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 14,117$8,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.73 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 8,956$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.5 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…61a6backed MOUZ | 35c | 8,791$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 8,586$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.63 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 8,409$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.83 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…2e30backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 7,691$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 6,148$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.97 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 6,057$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.95 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 5,988$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.8 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 40c | 5,186$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…fb00backed MOUZ | 22c | 4,466$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 4,350$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.6 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,213$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 11c | 4,101$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.3 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 3,484$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.05 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,374$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.34 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 37c | 3,162$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.5 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,876$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,786$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,614$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.18 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 2,440$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,196$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,949$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.1 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,855$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.91 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,708$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.08 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,689$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,627$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.95 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,593$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,357$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,338$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.92 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,296$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.39 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,243$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.08 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,211$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,203$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,188$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.05 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,187$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…5903backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,032$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.21 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,023$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,011$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 973.94$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 952.69$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed MOUZ | 46c | 947.43$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.81 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 916.64$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 887.46$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 6c | 849.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 840.25$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 48c | 820.29$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.55 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 807.42$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ | 46c | 774.93$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked MOUZ | 48c | 766.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 44c | 756$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 706.22$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ | 2c | 699.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 46c | 673.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.71 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 35c | 623.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 622.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 606.08$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.62 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 36c | 600$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 590.55$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 590.44$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 44c | 588.21$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 539$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 532.34$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed MOUZ | 37c | 520.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked MOUZ | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 491.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 38c | 491.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 467.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 465.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 460$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 441.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 47c | 436.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 32c | 432.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 425$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked MOUZ | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ | 38c | 395.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 359.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 358.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked MOUZ | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked MOUZ | 44c | 321$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed MOUZ | 48c | 317.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 306.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 305.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked MOUZ | 44c | 297.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 295$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 288.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.