Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9220bb35908f3f16207b377b46ec6e7da2c9aa38407a3d099731729f568853d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 39,910$25,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,074.03 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 38c | 28,074$10,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,767.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 24,544$13,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,416.96 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 32c | 19,057$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.56 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 18,940$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.87 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 37c | 16,613$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102.59 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 36c | 10,000$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.73 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 32c | 8,570$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 7,853$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.79 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 7,703$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.43 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 28c | 6,365$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 29c | 5,555$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.95 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 6c | 5,526$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 5,001$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 4,340$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.49 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 32c | 4,266$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.88 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 51c | 3,747$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.47 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 47c | 3,727$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.73 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,992$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.19 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 2,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.62 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,651$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked MOUZ | 15c | 2,299$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,236$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.04 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,229$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.34 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked MOUZ | 18c | 2,158$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,083$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.44 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 2,076$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.74 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,013$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.04 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,777$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.59 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed MOUZ | 19c | 1,759$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,590$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,515$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,512$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.24 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,495$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.82 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,476$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.4 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,444$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.39 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 1,407$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,400$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,399$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.71 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,372$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,339$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.82 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,329$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.05 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,317$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,226$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.79 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,211$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.42 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,196$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.81 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,154$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,120$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.61 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,086$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.26 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,084$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,044$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,022$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.28 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 40c | 996.56$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 963.54$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 949.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 7c | 938.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 900$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.84 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 879.21$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 851.31$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed MOUZ | 36c | 838.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed MOUZ | 39c | 814.46$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 36c | 800.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 43c | 800$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 20c | 772.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…4dc4backed MOUZ | 31c | 756.15$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 8c | 750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 732.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.56 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 727.16$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.16 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed MOUZ | 19c | 720.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 702.36$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 10c | 700$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 686.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed MOUZ | 34c | 679.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 677.73$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 652.21$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 636.64$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 624.62$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 600$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 587.77$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 563.28$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 45c | 549.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…5ae5backed MOUZ | 47c | 514.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 513.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 509.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed MOUZ | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MOUZ | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed MOUZ | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 53c | 499.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 496.39$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked MOUZ | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.