Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90535f496ea22204ca4dd474198c019c3d78be61ee3029c3692a9976a146063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,387 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 10,752$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.77 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 35c | 8,956$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.53 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 7,959$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.81 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed MOUZ | 44c | 5,459$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.39 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 34c | 3,999$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,293$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.5 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,094$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.32 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,200$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 949.8$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 946$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 876.81$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.27 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 27c | 866.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed MOUZ | 36c | 834.35$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…d36fbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 807.99$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 790.83$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked MOUZ | 17c | 662.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MOUZ | 18c | 659$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 636$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked MOUZ | 23c | 606.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 600$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 583.59$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 379.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 32c | 372.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…7413backed MOUZ | 31c | 327.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 301.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 280.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed MOUZ | 33c | 268.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ | 36c | 259.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…2dcabacked MOUZ | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3d2cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 200.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…c021backed MOUZ | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked MOUZ | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MOUZ | 37c | 187.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 184.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 24c | 178.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked MOUZ | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 36c | 138.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 15c | 121.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed MOUZ | 36c | 121$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MOUZ | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 24c | 114.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked MOUZ | 37c | 106.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 104.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 101.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed MOUZ | 39c | 101.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed MOUZ | 19c | 90.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked MOUZ | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 79.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked MOUZ | 14c | 72.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 69.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 66.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 64.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed MOUZ | 39c | 63.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…a903backed MOUZ | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked MOUZ | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…3425backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed MOUZ | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked MOUZ | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed MOUZ | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked MOUZ | 41c | 49.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 48.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…e790backed MOUZ | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…b7b4backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 36.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…a243backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…c88dbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed MOUZ | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…5b3bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…643dbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…6450backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.