Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0267cf9b3b28920c9c0e006d67e53af42a3c8ec69bff431bc5bb4d16dd6d0f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 66c | 20,655$13,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,619.72 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 71c | 18,582$13,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,282.32 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GLYPH | 30c | 16,010$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,215.35 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked GLYPH | 28c | 14,894$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,788.6 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GLYPH | 53c | 14,048$7,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,658.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GLYPH | 44c | 11,777$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GLYPH | 51c | 11,674$5,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,736.55 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 72c | 10,326$7,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.2 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 58c | 10,180$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GLYPH | 41c | 9,550$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625.61 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Aurora | 29c | 7,714$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.85 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed GLYPH | 72c | 6,564$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.48 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…cdc1backed Aurora | 76c | 6,557$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed GLYPH | 34c | 6,442$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.01 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked GLYPH | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…b1d5backed GLYPH | 80c | 5,096$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GLYPH | 57c | 3,821$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.48 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Aurora | 44c | 3,814$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.26 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 24c | 3,669$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 29c | 3,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 59c | 3,296$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 29c | 3,262$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 61c | 3,188$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.21 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GLYPH | 35c | 3,000$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 74c | 2,460$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.4 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 38c | 2,231$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.71 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Aurora | 77c | 2,227$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed GLYPH | 55c | 2,138$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.92 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 63c | 2,049$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 51c | 2,029$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.74 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 42c | 1,995$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.99 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Aurora | 28c | 1,988$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Aurora | 75c | 1,985$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.83 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 47c | 1,980$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.42 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 31c | 1,952$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked GLYPH | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.94 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Aurora | 70c | 1,718$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.94 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed GLYPH | 32c | 1,693$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.4 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed GLYPH | 40c | 1,689$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.12 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 74c | 1,675$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.69 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 41c | 1,527$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.23 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked GLYPH | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.99 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 71c | 1,495$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.21 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH | 23c | 1,459$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.69 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 42c | 1,398$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.38 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aurora | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked GLYPH | 73c | 1,347$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Aurora | 75c | 1,341$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH | 25c | 1,329$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.15 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 75c | 1,315$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.93 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Aurora | 44c | 1,313$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed GLYPH | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH | 49c | 1,247$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora | 25c | 1,192$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed GLYPH | 67c | 1,156$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed GLYPH | 29c | 1,130$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.42 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 58c | 1,074$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.13 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed GLYPH | 66c | 1,066$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.75 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 42c | 1,029$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.43 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 65c | 1,012$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.13 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,003$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.98 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GLYPH | 51c | 983.37$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.62 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed GLYPH | 63c | 973.25$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed GLYPH | 30c | 959.53$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.67 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked GLYPH | 64c | 949.99$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 40c | 945.93$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.85 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed GLYPH | 26c | 939.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.99 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Aurora | 44c | 914.49$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH | 69c | 896.83$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.46 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 39c | 850$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 66c | 848.74$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.17 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Aurora | 26c | 830$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…7f13backed Aurora | 37c | 824.77$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Aurora | 47c | 800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed GLYPH | 54c | 794$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.34 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked GLYPH | 26c | 754.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.87 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH | 53c | 751.42$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 67c | 750$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Aurora | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…80c8backed GLYPH | 50c | 718$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed GLYPH | 72c | 692.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed GLYPH | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…4485backed Aurora | 41c | 677.6$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.79 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 76c | 655.92$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed GLYPH | 67c | 647.15$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked GLYPH | 64c | 644.63$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked GLYPH | 43c | 641.51$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH | 48c | 628.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.71 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Aurora | 42c | 610.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Aurora | 76c | 610$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.65 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed GLYPH | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Aurora | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked GLYPH | 72c | 594.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed Aurora | 34c | 591.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 75c | 591.06$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.23 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 43c | 588.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.55 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.