Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb644940d1af60084537b867cf8d3e1aa347f383f730f41153a3c0cf2a846cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55db…8db6backed paiN Gaming | 2c | 53,660$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.83 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 24,482$12,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,435.51 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 22,866$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,865.54 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 15,562$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 9,934$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.41 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 19c | 9,146$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked paiN Gaming | 42c | 5,851$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.61 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 5,824$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.42 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN Gaming | 56c | 4,606$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.57 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 4,000$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.07 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 3,932$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.36 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 3,924$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 3,129$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.24 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 2,977$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.57 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN Gaming | 48c | 2,880$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.77 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 2,359$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.63 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 1,857$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.75 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 1,446$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.35 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 1,356$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,249$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.76 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,200$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,069$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.55 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed paiN Gaming | 41c | 1,008$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.28 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 975.09$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.93 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 936.27$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.76 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 915.56$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.89 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 38c | 911.3$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 887.96$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 852.45$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 813.35$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.54 | 317 | 36%114 W · 203 L | -18.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 812$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 811.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 794$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.7 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 790$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 780.48$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 765.71$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.73 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 764.06$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.69 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 676$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 646.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed paiN Gaming | 41c | 644.11$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.44 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 643.31$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked paiN Gaming | 63c | 624.34$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.33 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 589.36$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked paiN Gaming | 3c | 580.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 570.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 536.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked paiN Gaming | 28c | 527.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 484.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 480$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 429.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.11 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed paiN Gaming | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 408.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 392.31$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 389.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 374.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 327.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 303.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 300.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked paiN Gaming | 16c | 251.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 247.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked paiN Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked paiN Gaming | 6c | 216.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked paiN Gaming | 62c | 210.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 208.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked paiN Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 199.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 198.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 191.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 191.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 186.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked paiN Gaming | 26c | 181.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…89cbbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 159$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 148.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 120.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 117.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 112.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 112.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…b958backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 112.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 110.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed paiN Gaming | 47c | 106.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…9afbbacked paiN Gaming | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN Gaming | 35c | 101.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked paiN Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked paiN Gaming | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked paiN Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 96.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 93.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.