Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c470dd3451dfb2270f26ffa224106487557126ae595a2acf3ca049ddaae47c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,662 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 24,112$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,111.79 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 13,622$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.34 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 13,000$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934.62 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 5,713$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.47 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 4,744$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.96 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 3,440$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 3,072$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.45 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed paiN Gaming | 59c | 2,785$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 2,581$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.23 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked paiN Gaming | 41c | 2,429$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.28 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.2 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming | 62c | 1,581$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.98 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 1,403$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 1,365$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 1,350$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 1,245$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.91 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,019$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.73 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 977.77$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.29 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 948.72$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.95 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 940.6$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 922.6$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 771$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 760$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.7 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 748.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 600$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 596.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 574.45$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.35 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 550.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 546.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked paiN Gaming | 8c | 525.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 515.57$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked paiN Gaming | 49c | 515.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed paiN Gaming | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 481$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 459.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 448.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 437.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming | 44c | 391$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed paiN Gaming | 53c | 379.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 339.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 320.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked paiN Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 281.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 226.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 223.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 221.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 179.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 167.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 163.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 142.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 139.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed paiN Gaming | 75c | 134.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 118.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 117.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 117.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 116.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 111.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 93.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed paiN Gaming | 13c | 90.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 84.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 84.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…cbc0backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 68.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 68.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked paiN Gaming | 46c | 68.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 68.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked paiN Gaming | 49c | 64.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…b958backed paiN Gaming | 46c | 56.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 49.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 43.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 42.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 40.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…8c24backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 39.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…579bbacked paiN Gaming | 57c | 36.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 33.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 30.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…2ab4backed paiN Gaming | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.