Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56fec1bf2fd57eab5e28008be120120a01cca31ed664b6d2b9584dfee959ebe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 76c | 2,631$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 1,327$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.8 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 18c | 534.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 21c | 444.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…3ce9backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 25c | 335.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 256.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 63c | 243.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 66c | 235.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Over | 74c | 178.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 30c | 142.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 57c | 109.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 67c | 101$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 74.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 28c | 74.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 39c | 74.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 59.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 33c | 48.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 75c | 34.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…c73ebacked Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 63c | 30.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.