NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x134abb49a01822d800e8585ff78dffdbbaf8a6cde23b6faf081eb22dc3d525ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,946 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 46c | 6,820$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 4,448$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 4,267$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.04 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 3,265$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.58 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 2,254$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.4 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under | 44c | 2,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.89 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,652$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.08 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 58c | 1,083$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.16 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 867.87$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.51 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 707.7$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.15 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 567.86$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 410.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 395.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 390.73$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 349.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 47c | 334$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 45c | 333.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 35c | 285$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 278$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 69c | 255$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 191.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…078abacked Under | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 46c | 176$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 169.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 139$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Under | 44c | 132.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…ae08backed Under | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 78c | 109.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 90.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 57c | 84.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 43c | 80.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…7d41backed Over | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Over | 54c | 59.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…25fbbacked Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…145ebacked Under | 72c | 50.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 47c | 50.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 33c | 45.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…02bcbacked Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 40.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…6a38backed Under | 72c | 37.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…04b4backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91f…d5eebacked Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 40c | 30.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…404dbacked Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Over | 61c | 25.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…1e7dbacked Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Over | 57c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 55c | 21.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Over | 55c | 21.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…00bebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…28e6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 54c | 18.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…e578backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -6.6wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. StarsGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.