Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Stariy Bog Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a7939c1c70ef15948635e2fad0fb73fa67af36fc44f82ce07c8005e9f6e73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stariy Bog Clubof Ramzes Club, Stariy Bog Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Ramzes Club | 44c | 827.61$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Ramzes Club | 64c | 586.94$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.06 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Stariy Bog Club | 59c | 568.63$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stariy Bog Club | 46c | 480.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Stariy Bog Club | 41c | 446.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Stariy Bog Club | 33c | 375.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Stariy Bog Club | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Stariy Bog Club | 39c | 257.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Stariy Bog Club | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Ramzes Club | 51c | 219.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Stariy Bog Club | 37c | 193.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ramzes Club | 43c | 170.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Ramzes Club | 52c | 167.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Stariy Bog Club | 22c | 157.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Ramzes Club | 50c | 134.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…0860backed Stariy Bog Club | 40c | 125.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Stariy Bog Club | 14c | 121.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…daf4backed Ramzes Club | 63c | 106.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Ramzes Club | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Ramzes Club | 45c | 97.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Ramzes Club | 34c | 95.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Ramzes Club | 66c | 95.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…551ebacked Stariy Bog Club | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ramzes Club | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Ramzes Club | 60c | 66.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Ramzes Club | 31c | 65.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Stariy Bog Club | 59c | 57.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Ramzes Club | 61c | 55.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Stariy Bog Club | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…b019backed Ramzes Club | 66c | 48.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Ramzes Club | 65c | 46.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Ramzes Club | 52c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Stariy Bog Club | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…9dd2backed Ramzes Club | 67c | 37.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…6d0bbacked Ramzes Club | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Ramzes Club | 69c | 34.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d51…71a5backed Stariy Bog Club | 45c | 33.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…6a72backed Stariy Bog Club | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…3096backed Ramzes Club | 50c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ramzes Club | 52c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Ramzes Club | 70c | 26.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b06…fe54backed Ramzes Club | 66c | 24.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…d650backed Ramzes Club | 64c | 23.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Ramzes Club | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…acc0backed Ramzes Club | 66c | 18.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Stariy Bog Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Stariy Bog Club - Game 1 WinnerStariy Bog Club won
- Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Stariy Bog Club - Game 2 WinnerRamzes Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.