Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae0658754b64872e0f0ce8b1cc3cc891f31eb937982ca4e6772213b50aaaeac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,739 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 54,454$30,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,872.09 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 10,950$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.55 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 10,743$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,238.3 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 9,042$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.5 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 9,021$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 8,554$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.63 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 5,770$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 5,450$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 5,394$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.15 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,936$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.78 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 4,608$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 4,342$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.3 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 4,000$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.46 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 2,770$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.13 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,584$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.3 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 2,531$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.6 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 2,332$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 2,073$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.76 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 2,042$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.22 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,003$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,786$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.23 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,678$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.28 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,448$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,400$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.55 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.71 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 1,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,079$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.81 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,061$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,055$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.69 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,022$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.54 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,002$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.06 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 999.52$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…1ca2backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 939$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 882.82$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.82 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 880$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 851.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 838.58$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 811.13$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 790.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 737.78$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 721.63$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.75 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 711.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 662.65$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.35 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 662.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.35 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 616.13$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 602.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.82 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 570.21$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.75 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 526.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 515.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 495.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 486.39$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.44 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 391.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 378.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 365$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 365$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 351.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 340$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 330.23$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 286.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 283.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 280.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 268.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 254$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 227.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 210.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 193$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 191.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…82b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 130.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 119.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 115.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.