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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sashi Esportof fnatic, Sashi Esport
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport55c1,374$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.946,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic42c995.49$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.395,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sashi Esport71c813.95$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.274,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sashi Esport42c748.43$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.173,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed fnatic69c618.58$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9141960.9%255 W · 164 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Sashi Esport57c567.39$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.244358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed fnatic40c388.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8352947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed fnatic66c337.32$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.084548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Sashi Esport32c259.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1769635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Sashi Esport57c252.13$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Esport46c251.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.957,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked fnatic60c251.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.698445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed fnatic51c220.45$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed fnatic67c209.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1116949.7%84 W · 85 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Sashi Esport65c193.71$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.22475%18 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic44c185.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.874,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sashi Esport70c175.77$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.172,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4c…1cc2backed Sashi Esport29c170.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.594440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Sashi Esport55c167.48$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3613756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed fnatic46c154.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4938131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9295…4e32backed fnatic40c148.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked fnatic22c134.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4837441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed fnatic46c124.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.163541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sashi Esport65c115.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.111,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport30c111.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.15,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked Sashi Esport48c103.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.591833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed fnatic62c99.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9911546.1%53 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed fnatic66c89.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked fnatic23c86.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7918554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Sashi Esport76c76.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic29c69.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Sashi Esport52c66.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed Sashi Esport32c61.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9518530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed fnatic65c60.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4628556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb94f…07a6backed Sashi Esport43c57.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.125764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Sashi Esport40c49.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7215352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Sashi Esport53c49.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9662350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Sashi Esport50c48.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed fnatic55c48.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6232561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429a…7745backed Sashi Esport66c43.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d87…d456backed fnatic70c33.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.641729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Sashi Esport72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.429555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad8e…20fabacked fnatic53c28.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Sashi Esport52c25.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0647053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked fnatic45c24.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8716451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Sashi Esport43c23.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.471,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed fnatic61c21.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8549376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Sashi Esport55c20.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3411750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed fnatic63c19.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4253055.5%294 W · 236 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.