CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3143f6af8d6a453fe533fb29cbc9afdf1245fd858ef97555b2690ca947a481a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sashi Esport | 50c | 2,137$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 48c | 1,297$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed fnatic | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 699.9$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.66 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 599.39$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.87 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed fnatic | 52c | 535.65$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.92 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sashi Esport | 52c | 366.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Sashi Esport | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Sashi Esport | 49c | 308.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sashi Esport | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 270.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sashi Esport | 49c | 246.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked fnatic | 64c | 238.01$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked fnatic | 53c | 218.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed fnatic | 58c | 209.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed fnatic | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed fnatic | 39c | 199.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked fnatic | 45c | 196.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Sashi Esport | 54c | 182.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed fnatic | 64c | 154.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked fnatic | 39c | 151.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked fnatic | 66c | 150.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed fnatic | 32c | 140$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Sashi Esport | 48c | 129.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sashi Esport | 54c | 123.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Sashi Esport | 38c | 113.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Sashi Esport | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sashi Esport | 51c | 103.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed fnatic | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked fnatic | 33c | 98.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked fnatic | 51c | 93.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 90.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed fnatic | 65c | 78.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 78.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sashi Esport | 47c | 78.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Sashi Esport | 69c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Sashi Esport | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Sashi Esport | 50c | 61.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked fnatic | 64c | 60.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed fnatic | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Sashi Esport | 52c | 57.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…ba9cbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 57.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Sashi Esport | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed fnatic | 25c | 51.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Sashi Esport | 47c | 49.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 39c | 49.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed fnatic | 55c | 44.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Sashi Esport | 71c | 44.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Sashi Esport | 54c | 43.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed Sashi Esport | 36c | 41.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed fnatic | 38c | 39.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 39.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 33.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 32.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked Sashi Esport | 49c | 30.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Sashi Esport | 69c | 28.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked fnatic | 59c | 27.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed fnatic | 45c | 24.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…d456backed fnatic | 65c | 24.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sashi Esport | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Sashi Esport | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 16.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…36febacked Sashi Esport | 69c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.