Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23f3c00f83fc3c2391dc82dd9a18357a9395c6c206b4836f0e51856e5ce4a7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof paiN Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,148 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 21,952$16,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,273.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 0c | 13,760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.46 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 49c | 8,095$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 5,931$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.74 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked paiN Gaming | 26c | 5,761$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.14 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 4,438$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.26 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 3,956$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.47 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 3,834$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.57 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 3,524$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.23 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 77c | 3,388$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.1 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 2,938$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN Gaming | 32c | 2,643$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.43 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,505$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 2,066$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.91 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 2,059$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 1,977$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.94 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 1,711$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.57 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,371$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.73 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 1,273$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN Gaming | 59c | 1,268$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.49 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 1,246$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.48 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,064$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.25 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 919.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.59 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed paiN Gaming | 44c | 866.95$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked paiN Gaming | 67c | 861.6$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.74 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 796.01$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.57 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 790$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.03 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons | 5c | 769.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed paiN Gaming | 61c | 733.75$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed paiN Gaming | 19c | 726.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.86 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 9c | 723$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 655.06$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 611.14$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.42 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 599.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked paiN Gaming | 26c | 599.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed paiN Gaming | 75c | 564$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked paiN Gaming | 39c | 529.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.4 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN Gaming | 59c | 527.56$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 522.39$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 516.87$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.05 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 455.04$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.53 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked paiN Gaming | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 445.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked paiN Gaming | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Falcons | 32c | 380.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 48c | 361.77$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Falcons | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 342.48$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked paiN Gaming | 39c | 337.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed paiN Gaming | 40c | 310.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Team Falcons | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 280.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked paiN Gaming | 31c | 276.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Team Falcons | 35c | 270$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 264.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 261.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed Team Falcons | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked paiN Gaming | 51c | 243.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 37c | 228.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 59c | 215$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked paiN Gaming | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons | 44c | 195.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 189.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed Team Falcons | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 178.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 175.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked paiN Gaming | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 168.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked paiN Gaming | 32c | 165.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 160.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Team Falcons | 12c | 157.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed paiN Gaming | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 149.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Team Falcons | 78c | 135.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Falcons | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 134.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN Gaming | 20c | 121.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Team Falcons | 12c | 117.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Team Falcons | 43c | 115.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 111.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 59c | 111$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Team Falcons | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Falcons | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed paiN Gaming | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 101.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Falcons | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Team Falcons | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.