Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7824057118128951364c1c9638970e83d539117cc014e4f7d75e011519bb1a2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof paiN Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,844 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN Gaming | 27c | 18,596$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.94 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked paiN Gaming | 29c | 9,712$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.19 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 9,132$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.58 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 72c | 8,008$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.94 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 5,818$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.37 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 4,762$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.56 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 72c | 4,391$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.93 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 3,538$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.32 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Falcons | 77c | 3,236$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.55 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 2,690$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 2,529$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.44 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 2,379$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 2,375$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…e03bbacked paiN Gaming | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 2,200$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.8 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 78c | 2,083$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.83 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 75c | 2,040$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 2,029$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed paiN Gaming | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,950$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.22 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 1,782$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,734$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.94 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,733$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.83 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked paiN Gaming | 25c | 1,637$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.06 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,557$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,500$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.1 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,453$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,206$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked paiN Gaming | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 1,136$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,090$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked paiN Gaming | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.55 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 1,000$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 987.53$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.64 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 918$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 899.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 851.68$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 695.59$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons | 80c | 659.03$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed paiN Gaming | 24c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed paiN Gaming | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 600$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 561.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 546.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN Gaming | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 71c | 497.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 453.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 440$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked paiN Gaming | 24c | 416.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 78c | 381.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 355.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 74c | 328.17$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked paiN Gaming | 29c | 326.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked paiN Gaming | 25c | 324.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN Gaming | 20c | 322.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…ad9cbacked paiN Gaming | 9c | 299$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked paiN Gaming | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 286.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked paiN Gaming | 12c | 281.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 263.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed paiN Gaming | 32c | 239.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 233.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 223.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 217.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Team Falcons | 74c | 214.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked paiN Gaming | 33c | 209.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked paiN Gaming | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 190.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Falcons | 68c | 189.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked paiN Gaming | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 185.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 177.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed paiN Gaming | 28c | 175.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked paiN Gaming | 29c | 169$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 168.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked paiN Gaming | 7c | 167$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed paiN Gaming | 18c | 156.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Falcons | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Falcons | 78c | 148.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…8a3fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 118.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…17c9backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 116.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 111.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked paiN Gaming | 17c | 111.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Team Falcons | 74c | 92.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked paiN Gaming | 28c | 90.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 90.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Team Falcons | 72c | 90.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.