TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,347 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA16c58,896$9,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,267.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked NRG49c30,753$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,752.973036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed NRG53c20,395$10,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,673.554537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA65c10,033$6,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,521.3572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked FURIA1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA51c7,996$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.9319757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA37c7,582$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.1839248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG54c6,500$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.953,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA51c5,466$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.482,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA29c4,827$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4181,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA39c3,771$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.311,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x043f…d9e1backed FURIA60c3,753$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA50c3,538$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.972,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed NRG68c3,467$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.611643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf77c…766dbacked NRG33c2,752$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA33c2,741$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.8188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed NRG62c2,408$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.8926549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed FURIA57c2,183$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25012449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FURIA50c2,129$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.711,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked FURIA66c1,900$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25410945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed NRG36c1,884$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.696038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed FURIA54c1,847$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed NRG35c1,845$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.416152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA69c1,841$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.615,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked NRG73c1,768$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1521146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed NRG30c1,593$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.8716945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed NRG36c1,570$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.778938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa932…3081backed NRG74c1,552$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.463363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked NRG32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9929046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed FURIA67c1,479$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.7126368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked FURIA64c1,400$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.9935242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA37c1,387$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.231,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG30c1,293$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.391,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA65c1,271$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.032,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked FURIA40c1,236$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG51c1,230$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed FURIA65c1,218$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7927041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA59c1,213$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.56,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed FURIA55c1,200$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.131444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NRG34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA68c1,177$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4222448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA50c1,159$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.011,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA43c1,148$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.092,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FURIA42c1,144$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9753746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG45c1,079$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked FURIA54c1,051$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1321939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked FURIA1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked FURIA2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed FURIA54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54092152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed FURIA65c974.46$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.413453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed NRG35c951.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.4920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG44c930.09$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.1578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed NRG32c874.47$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.7112452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed NRG55c848.8$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5629831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed NRG49c830.24$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4224544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG48c791.64$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG35c750$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked FURIA2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed FURIA67c665.05$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.827459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NRG25c662.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed NRG26c637$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA33c605.09$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.783,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed NRG29c594.65$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked FURIA63c593.49$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.99258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed NRG22c591.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.656716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FURIA69c581.66$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3433553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked FURIA38c581.49$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.849848%47 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed NRG74c558$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0816349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked FURIA74c541.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed FURIA67c538.13$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.5538552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked FURIA59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed NRG34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6536245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…88c9backed FURIA80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed FURIA64c489.05$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5580744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked NRG32c473.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked FURIA58c456.9$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26519642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed NRG40c453.35$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.357755.8%43 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed FURIA74c450.32$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.713267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA60c424.64$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed NRG36c424.33$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.572512%3 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked NRG45c419.52$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.762853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked NRG76c418.46$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5239970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed NRG64c404.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2922843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed NRG33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26897230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed FURIA67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2684742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed FURIA78c383.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked FURIA46c378.65$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.181833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4745…d71cbacked FURIA62c350$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2163935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed NRG35c349.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.047552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cf…e53bbacked NRG43c338.93$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.19988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG31c332$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.181,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed FURIA79c316.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked FURIA17c309.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2527556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed FURIA47c303.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4921956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked FURIA53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15932352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked FURIA4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked NRG16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FURIA67c298.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb3…2ab3backed FURIA67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.