CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff119ca78fa64285a660fd668011575d403ba66d41637151e1667f3d48e9ed64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 3,724$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.52 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 2,393$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Under | 57c | 1,503$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.46 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 36c | 383.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 71c | 366.68$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 29c | 339.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 39c | 317$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Over | 74c | 299.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 52c | 280.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 49c | 267.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 266$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 56c | 265$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 197.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Under | 59c | 149.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 29c | 122.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 42c | 119.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…7a6fbacked Under | 58c | 94.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 55c | 83.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…3bdabacked Over | 65c | 61.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 36c | 49.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 42c | 46.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…cfb5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 45c | 40.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 49c | 38.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…3294backed Under | 58c | 30.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 52c | 30.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 64c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…25fcbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…ad68backed Under | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.