TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof FURIA, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,126 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc804…d050backed NRG50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x343a…b337backed FURIA50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6d…0a06backed FURIA50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cff…bbaabacked NRG50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked FURIA52c8,776$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,535.5214954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA0c8,367$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.211,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG49c4,681$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.1367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed NRG53c4,577$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.3319455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked NRG53c4,445$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.653852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed NRG54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.71553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked FURIA47c2,600$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22224943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG42c2,323$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.573,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA49c2,027$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.1223145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed NRG51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7820946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FURIA49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked FURIA51c1,585$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.1719047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked NRG48c1,493$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.5523952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed FURIA51c1,455$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6492152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed FURIA49c1,184$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.0820743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NRG48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked NRG47c1,128$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.336450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed NRG51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.393447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed FURIA51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed FURIA51c883.37$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5243933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked FURIA51c865.58$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb79…f6c9backed FURIA52c833.47$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.181947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NRG45c832.27$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA55c823.52$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38411852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked FURIA55c777$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3514853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed FURIA47c734$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9812334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked NRG47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed NRG49c683.85$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.916945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked FURIA51c589.9$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8532536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed NRG54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.569565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed FURIA57c489.47$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27936554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc876…1a19backed NRG51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed NRG51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked FURIA50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed NRG50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked NRG48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.994837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA52c391.19$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20239157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NRG51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7453545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4554…9694backed FURIA68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked FURIA50c284.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked FURIA50c262$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed FURIA63c261.29$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked NRG52c260$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.69443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA47c255.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.11,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NRG50c210.12$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed FURIA51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5517254.1%93 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA50c204.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.041,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked NRG50c200.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.058852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed FURIA52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10423333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed FURIA51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked NRG76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed NRG50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed FURIA24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed NRG49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10238452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked FURIA51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked FURIA53c195.27$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.571951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed FURIA51c194.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed FURIA52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked FURIA52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked NRG54c185.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA50c182.72$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.082,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed NRG47c171.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked NRG50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8213947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed FURIA51c158.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed FURIA42c155.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4447641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed FURIA50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FURIA48c134.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked NRG48c125.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4918043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed NRG51c113.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed FURIA50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.9%64 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed NRG60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed NRG55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4568753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked FURIA53c98.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed FURIA52c94.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3711350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked FURIA53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c91…c7ecbacked FURIA58c87.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed NRG51c87.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8115056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e2…9df8backed FURIA49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed NRG51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed FURIA47c76.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0611252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked NRG54c75.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.845641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacd1…b918backed NRG54c74.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.417448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed FURIA48c68.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5529153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked NRG52c66.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7920549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…2c29backed NRG60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG48c60.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3663…a364backed FURIA64c60.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed NRG51c59.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1425446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked FURIA50c58.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6536541.9%153 W · 212 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed FURIA51c58.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked NRG55c57.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked NRG48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2610438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked NRG50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510337.9%39 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.