TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof NRG, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,387 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA74c12,532$9,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.4183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked NRG15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed NRG26c9,594$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.5223839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA72c8,765$6,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.733,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA73c7,389$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.9872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed NRG33c6,069$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.424537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed NRG27c5,260$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed NRG27c4,678$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25111940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG0c4,410$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FURIA77c4,269$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.2735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed NRG29c3,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.6824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed NRG2c3,400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.22,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG27c3,167$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.0922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked NRG14c2,500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3556137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA73c2,108$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.1846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG21c1,943$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed NRG1c1,833$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.016716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed NRG26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed NRG5c1,400$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2941716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked NRG19c1,334$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed FURIA75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3313453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…022fbacked NRG7c1,100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA77c1,048$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1978963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked NRG26c878.99$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5428644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked NRG24c829.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed FURIA74c785$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.813950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed NRG27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008146.9%38 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbda8…23f8backed NRG7c726.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.552653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a18…0808backed NRG15c677.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked FURIA79c665.69$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0721939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG28c622.74$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.96,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed NRG7c600$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked FURIA75c587.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7425261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…378cbacked NRG15c505.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA73c505.4$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.762,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…42f1backed NRG6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG27c491$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.721,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA75c468.57$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.145,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA74c452.38$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.881,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed FURIA72c416.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.748066.3%53 W · 27 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed FURIA75c416.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0816945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NRG23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed NRG38c391.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.937552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed NRG26c378.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG25c375.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.812,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed FURIA75c367.57$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5727459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…13d1backed NRG38c342.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed NRG6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7f…f922backed NRG9c314.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.259946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG26c311.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed NRG5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157418.9%14 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NRG29c255$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed NRG8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NRG13c231$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.781,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5783…a338backed NRG18c225.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid+71.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked FURIA76c220$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.935744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ef…b4b5backed NRG16c191.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed FURIA64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2517462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked NRG26c152.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af6…7cb7backed FURIA72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3996…1b4fbacked FURIA75c129.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.693751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170a…1db9backed NRG8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb968…0a63backed NRG10c118.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked NRG31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3325045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…4bc0backed NRG24c103.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG26c102.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7776748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed FURIA75c102.63$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6615056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed FURIA74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2629465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed NRG28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NRG25c96.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG26c93.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed NRG27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed NRG30c90.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.278641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked NRG28c89.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1327848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c26…affabacked FURIA75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed FURIA78c77.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7310663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06b8…8812backed NRG27c74.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked NRG27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked NRG26c72.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.896035%21 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed FURIA70c69.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.942845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed7…088dbacked FURIA72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5010…3bdabacked FURIA66c68.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.025048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed FURIA74c65.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0633352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…8afebacked NRG29c65.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.266233.9%21 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed FURIA78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19256.5%52 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…6c48backed NRG24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158641.9%36 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked NRG26c62.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2411047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed NRG26c58.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked NRG27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked NRG37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed NRG37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.524747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG24c49.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.834,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed NRG32c49.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8230831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1369…565ebacked NRG29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.849745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed FURIA64c39.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2914545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.