CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1226e8676d97c11932d4b16b89e60936a00a137cceaac5065b60f555ca7a104d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof NIP, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb31b…d703backed NIP | 3c | 30,480$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.33 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked NIP | 63c | 19,989$12,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,633.95 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 48c | 18,104$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.47 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Liquid | 52c | 16,377$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,797.21 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed NIP | 76c | 11,121$8,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,452.74 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Liquid | 71c | 10,944$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.19 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…97f2backed NIP | 0c | 10,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NIP | 43c | 9,269$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.13 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Liquid | 46c | 8,073$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.34 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Liquid | 56c | 7,490$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.91 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 73c | 6,829$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 55c | 6,536$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.98 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed NIP | 47c | 6,466$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.19 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Liquid | 28c | 6,384$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.46 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed NIP | 68c | 5,562$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Liquid | 56c | 5,525$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.04 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Liquid | 49c | 5,056$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.64 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 48c | 4,990$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.68 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NIP | 47c | 4,725$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.69 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Liquid | 39c | 4,366$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.93 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 48c | 3,575$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.62 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked NIP | 66c | 3,243$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.6 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 45c | 3,182$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 45c | 3,150$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.29 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed NIP | 57c | 3,147$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.29 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 56c | 2,986$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NIP | 59c | 2,718$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.54 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked NIP | 53c | 2,633$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Liquid | 55c | 2,518$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.05 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Liquid | 25c | 2,505$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.9 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Liquid | 47c | 2,380$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.38 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Liquid | 42c | 2,376$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.35 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed NIP | 45c | 2,227$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 37c | 2,118$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Liquid | 55c | 2,069$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.16 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed NIP | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 54c | 1,979$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.76 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 44c | 1,870$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 42c | 1,836$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked NIP | 72c | 1,811$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.96 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked NIP | 53c | 1,725$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.97 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…59e6backed NIP | 54c | 1,695$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid | 37c | 1,574$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.93 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid | 46c | 1,523$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.74 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Liquid | 53c | 1,492$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.68 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Liquid | 54c | 1,490$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.37 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked NIP | 53c | 1,479$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.42 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 53c | 1,471$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.49 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Liquid | 43c | 1,439$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.91 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Liquid | 35c | 1,433$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.71 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked NIP | 52c | 1,419$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.15 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked NIP | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Liquid | 55c | 1,230$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.02 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed NIP | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid | 59c | 1,190$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.27 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed NIP | 35c | 1,173$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Liquid | 47c | 1,159$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.18 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Liquid | 47c | 1,145$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.83 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed NIP | 54c | 1,113$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed NIP | 73c | 1,098$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Liquid | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.37 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8ecabacked NIP | 54c | 1,056$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked NIP | 2c | 1,031$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Liquid | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Liquid | 42c | 991.56$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked NIP | 53c | 980.4$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.61 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed NIP | 53c | 943.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Liquid | 58c | 936$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed NIP | 78c | 923.72$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Liquid | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Liquid | 47c | 886.04$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked NIP | 52c | 849.74$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.12 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed NIP | 58c | 848.78$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 42c | 822.02$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed NIP | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 23c | 799.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked NIP | 72c | 750$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Liquid | 66c | 746.05$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed NIP | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP | 35c | 712.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked NIP | 47c | 707.45$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed NIP | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked NIP | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked NIP | 40c | 677.85$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Liquid | 54c | 629.33$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Liquid | 60c | 627.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Liquid | 47c | 617$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed NIP | 55c | 614.51$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Liquid | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…ce06backed NIP | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked NIP | 52c | 566.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.63 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 27c | 566.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.67 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Liquid | 47c | 561.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Liquid | 24c | 550$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed NIP | 39c | 541.86$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Liquid | 46c | 518.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked NIP | 37c | 517.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed NIP | 34c | 515.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.