CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd611bf457265c3fe6f84a9fe25f5199241e220ffd70804124c2cd22e50def9c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 70c | 21,653$15,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.34 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Liquid | 33c | 18,415$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.19 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 79c | 8,623$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.92 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Liquid | 12c | 8,028$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.84 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 60c | 7,553$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.33 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Liquid | 45c | 5,533$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.29 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Liquid | 40c | 4,916$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.24 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Liquid | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Liquid | 47c | 3,845$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Liquid | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 54c | 2,772$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.94 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 79c | 2,574$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid | 26c | 2,404$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.83 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 56c | 2,340$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Liquid | 44c | 2,110$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked NIP | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Liquid | 15c | 1,976$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NIP | 62c | 1,785$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.46 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid | 2c | 1,783$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP | 57c | 1,771$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.69 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Liquid | 21c | 1,448$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 32c | 1,350$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.55 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid | 35c | 1,250$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Liquid | 5c | 1,212$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Liquid | 24c | 1,166$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.51 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Liquid | 12c | 1,083$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Liquid | 39c | 1,064$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NIP | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 69c | 1,000$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.65 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 68c | 999.99$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.05 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed NIP | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Liquid | 55c | 993.42$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.78 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Liquid | 40c | 973.64$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.18 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed NIP | 60c | 935.1$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.29 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…36f7backed Liquid | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed NIP | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Liquid | 21c | 834.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Liquid | 44c | 830$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed NIP | 61c | 821.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Liquid | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked NIP | 74c | 753.87$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NIP | 62c | 744.18$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.79 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked NIP | 49c | 725.98$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.25 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed NIP | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked NIP | 60c | 661.05$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.05 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid | 29c | 652$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Liquid | 21c | 647.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Liquid | 28c | 625$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Liquid | 31c | 618.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed NIP | 68c | 615.31$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Liquid | 6c | 609.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked NIP | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Liquid | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed NIP | 73c | 572.13$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked NIP | 54c | 560$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Liquid | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Liquid | 43c | 541.81$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed NIP | 61c | 539$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.78 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed NIP | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Liquid | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Liquid | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Liquid | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed NIP | 72c | 450.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 64c | 431.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Liquid | 33c | 429.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Liquid | 32c | 418.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed NIP | 74c | 404.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed NIP | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed NIP | 61c | 378.39$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Liquid | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed NIP | 54c | 368.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8ecabacked Liquid | 5c | 366.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed NIP | 57c | 350.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Liquid | 43c | 348.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 60c | 327.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed NIP | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP | 56c | 319.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Liquid | 43c | 302.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Liquid | 45c | 291$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked NIP | 75c | 267.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 60c | 260.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked NIP | 72c | 255.25$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Liquid | 39c | 253.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Liquid | 46c | 245.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed NIP | 53c | 237$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked NIP | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Liquid | 31c | 229.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Liquid | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked NIP | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Liquid | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Liquid | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 64.2%97 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 52c | 206$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked NIP | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Liquid | 45c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Liquid | 18c | 196.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Liquid | 26c | 193.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Liquid | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.