CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c13ac4930c5b59591eb6afbdd265c0baaefa4f30f258810b35c1065fec783c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,589 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 3,976$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,988$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Under | 49c | 1,187$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 1,122$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.98 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 60c | 1,086$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 52c | 928.29$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.48 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 49c | 892.51$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Under | 55c | 824.73$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.35 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 50c | 693.57$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.73 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Under | 33c | 550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 46c | 509.79$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.61 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed Over | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Under | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 45c | 428.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 42c | 422.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Over | 52c | 385.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 60c | 338.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Over | 50c | 302$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Under | 60c | 290$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked Under | 54c | 274.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 38c | 263.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 251$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 44c | 212.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Under | 51c | 195.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 59c | 174.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 76c | 145.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 37c | 136.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 129.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 51c | 116.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 55c | 108.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 100.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 52c | 83.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 35c | 77.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 52c | 71.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3ff2backed Under | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 55c | 54.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 59c | 53.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 53.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 50c | 44.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 51c | 34.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 31.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…ec71backed Over | 48c | 31.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Under | 51c | 29.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 50c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…213bbacked Under | 44c | 24.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Over | 50c | 22.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 55c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 58c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.