TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$576,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,206 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04fe…3688backed Team Falcons56c26,310$14,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,446.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA52c18,508$9,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,553.913,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA41c14,992$6,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,085.9781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked FURIA46c6,417$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.6421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons62c6,145$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.2976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA30c5,843$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.322,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons62c5,669$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.632,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Team Falcons54c5,185$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.8310047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA47c4,801$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked FURIA38c4,691$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.4110251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed FURIA46c4,394$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.076634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA39c4,370$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.091,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Falcons62c3,996$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.376848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked FURIA50c3,886$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9339258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA36c3,710$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.3728538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA35c3,710$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.551,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA43c3,630$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.756,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons64c3,500$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.125555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons57c3,464$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA43c3,346$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.1839248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA50c2,979$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA37c2,665$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.041,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed FURIA47c2,579$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.164045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Team Falcons61c2,532$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.8510663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA40c2,414$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.6988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA48c2,343$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.722,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed FURIA44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed FURIA28c2,098$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.825543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons59c2,091$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.1947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed FURIA43c2,012$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8594621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c2…aa6bbacked FURIA61c1,982$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8da…d918backed Team Falcons53c1,977$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Falcons55c1,890$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.7646345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team Falcons54c1,854$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.985151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons54c1,849$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.696253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed FURIA38c1,847$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70211940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…8a75backed FURIA38c1,846$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA40c1,699$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.831,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons76c1,665$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.672955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed FURIA37c1,621$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8224944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons51c1,603$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78646949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA13c1,548$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.267,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Team Falcons49c1,490$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.813453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons55c1,488$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.7624346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed FURIA37c1,380$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5415141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed Team Falcons62c1,317$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.467851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons45c1,306$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.051,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed FURIA40c1,297$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6823243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons63c1,288$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Team Falcons18c1,270$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.410549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons28c1,250$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed FURIA40c1,236$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.526246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Falcons61c1,203$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9817538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed FURIA36c1,157$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.614151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed Team Falcons26c1,150$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.52540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed FURIA37c1,101$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0416945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda8…23f8backed Team Falcons57c1,059$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons58c1,013$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.485048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA58c999.98$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9945455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Team Falcons63c999.58$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.712451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed FURIA37c949.99$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.59656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA25c942.2$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.163,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FURIA27c940.9$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FURIA31c919.38$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Team Falcons55c906.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7413937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons51c880.12$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Falcons43c871$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.0129831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons25c788.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1196545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons65c766.92$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4241260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked FURIA39c761.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.648633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Team Falcons54c751$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Falcons56c745.27$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.276952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons61c734.26$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.991,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Team Falcons55c728.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.7512452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Falcons51c700$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.236555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons58c697.09$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7817850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked FURIA65c695.53$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed FURIA37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502512%3 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ae…16f8backed FURIA37c669.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502015%3 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Team Falcons60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6714555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed FURIA24c638.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA52c636.18$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.812,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA38c614.75$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.421,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed FURIA49c605.9$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.892454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked FURIA47c598.38$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.411833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d8…e34fbacked FURIA61c586.98$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.523447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed FURIA46c566.35$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.794940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked FURIA49c563.43$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0811443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x016c…fd1bbacked Team Falcons18c549.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.332425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Team Falcons50c548.78$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4747641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons54c541.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4729235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed FURIA38c525.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.686716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaef0…4806backed FURIA39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked FURIA38c500.46$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6411644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed FURIA36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33538835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.