TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Team Falcons, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,030 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA66c19,688$12,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,737.0739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4009855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons37c8,108$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed FURIA63c7,500$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,77567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked Team Falcons34c4,508$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52014954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked FURIA75c3,601$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.7517945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FURIA62c3,584$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.8747147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed FURIA62c3,023$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.732462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons25c2,685$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.383,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons33c2,666$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.7883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons38c2,650$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed FURIA67c2,350$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6112154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons34c1,546$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7423932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed FURIA65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906536.9%24 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3eb…33d3backed Team Falcons35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA63c1,176$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.651,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Falcons28c1,020$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7816945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons36c831.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA64c777$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.721,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed FURIA68c740$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.868753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Team Falcons35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons32c708.75$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Falcons8c661$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.141,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed Team Falcons35c567.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons40c503.03$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0342845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked Team Falcons35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked FURIA66c455$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15545162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed FURIA73c342$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Team Falcons38c312.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8222444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed FURIA65c305.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.532965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed FURIA66c303.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3848562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked FURIA67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4554…9694backed Team Falcons35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Team Falcons35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed FURIA62c285.33$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6450947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons35c260$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9114151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed FURIA65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.517254.1%93 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c69…962ebacked Team Falcons38c206.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.413540%14 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed FURIA62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7638452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked FURIA70c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5919954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb61…25e3backed Team Falcons37c189.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons47c179.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked FURIA65c178.46$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4654543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed FURIA66c151.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8e…ca2ebacked FURIA67c140.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons33c140.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.330340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Team Falcons36c137.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked Team Falcons35c137.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked FURIA77c129.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8965662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8e…6d95backed Team Falcons36c118$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed FURIA74c111.14$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.931372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4696…e741backed FURIA48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.175644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed Team Falcons38c100.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2310232.4%33 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Team Falcons37c100.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.520145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Team Falcons30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304362.8%27 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Team Falcons35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Falcons31c95.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.042,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1217…96c6backed Team Falcons36c92.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Team Falcons39c88.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.181,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed Team Falcons38c78.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.377552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Team Falcons26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed Team Falcons37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7524842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Team Falcons32c70.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6824451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Team Falcons43c70.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed FURIA61c65.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5410841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed FURIA73c64.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4532…e2a7backed Team Falcons33c64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA62c62.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed FURIA65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212544%11 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Team Falcons39c55.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6424055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed FURIA51c54.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6652755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x996e…900ebacked FURIA74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Team Falcons37c54.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Team Falcons34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1734742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…3411backed FURIA68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e5…afd1backed FURIA70c48.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed FURIA62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.396855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked FURIA62c48.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3238844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed FURIA77c47.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.843281.3%26 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Team Falcons32c46.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf5…900abacked FURIA64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Team Falcons33c45.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed FURIA66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4512355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf1…2920backed Team Falcons59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed Team Falcons39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Team Falcons37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed FURIA63c40.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.952642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Team Falcons37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bf…dc9ebacked Team Falcons35c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed FURIA66c38.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0914952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…6502backed FURIA65c38.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Team Falcons35c35.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3812856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1554…3b03backed Team Falcons38c34.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.953946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc81…477fbacked FURIA64c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Falcons34c31.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b14…b86fbacked FURIA64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+362.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed FURIA77c22.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0913545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed FURIA65c20.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.