TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,338 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c12,704$6,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,479.2683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c5,966$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c5,819$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.813447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c3,808$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.021,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over49c3,673$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.3824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe39…461ebacked Under50c3,616$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.78560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2506243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c2,086$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.083,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.82757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Under50c1,853$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.596043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under51c1,576$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.9310947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over49c1,425$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.6331345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over48c1,345$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under52c1,345$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.2820944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under36c1,130$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.516945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under53c1,029$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1411638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5119351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under56c1,000$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.259442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Over49c614.94$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.625347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under46c604.8$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.742,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Over48c521.08$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.966246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under52c429.17$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.171,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over44c428.03$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.71,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1623557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1610541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over49c343$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5846344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over49c306.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8514856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Over49c289.8$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.811247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over73c271.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.071,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Under51c269.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0210752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Under53c259.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1129153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under6c244.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5010…3bdabacked Over49c226.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.75048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0817462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over49c202.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0421644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c199.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.981,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Under50c198.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Over49c190.82$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.328330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…0db0backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under53c179.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8d…b8afbacked Over49c175.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Over52c171.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.443141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over46c158.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under55c140.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over78c138.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.173,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Under51c131.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.225641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6581843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over54c123.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.752755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over49c111.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9426958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under51c107.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8736846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under50c107.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over49c106.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.127342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over47c105.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.772937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Over49c105.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.365747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under26c104.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.642,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd72e…3627backed Over49c102.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.117856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060f…34c0backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0411834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f22…9d96backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045450%27 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under54c100.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.058459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5513748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5125251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5f…517cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under54c95.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…c530backed Over42c94.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under48c85.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3145224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8b…a18cbacked Over53c81.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.42,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over66c76.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4652…b653backed Under51c71.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under50c70.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.332944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447a…8a42backed Over50c66.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Over49c63.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.865642.9%24 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under52c63.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed29…3024backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e5…cdcdbacked Over49c60.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4242backed Under19c60.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.681246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b2…94b8backed Over60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under50c59.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Over49c56.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.966245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked Over49c54.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.023450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Over46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.342540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Over49c53.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over48c52.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.172951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba0…679fbacked Over50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.528856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410455.8%58 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…51fdbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58842%37 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.