TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Yandex, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$610,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex44c94,050$41,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,10054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex46c40,873$18,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,725.3755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex49c26,266$12,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,938.133746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports54c21,998$11,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,151.123857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Team Yandex17c18,971$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.072321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports56c18,045$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,895.9120156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports50c14,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,95022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x554b…8216backed Tundra Esports58c13,700$7,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports52c13,528$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,478.478749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports66c10,309$6,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.7766662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tundra Esports51c10,280$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.213020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports50c10,268$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,134.1836041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Tundra Esports50c10,248$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,123.8413441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports65c9,884$6,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.5751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports63c9,034$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.2473841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Team Yandex39c7,777$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.022142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex47c7,769$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.2732854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports61c7,721$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.1418746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports64c7,140$4,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.951,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2199…f619backed Team Yandex49c7,092$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex47c6,582$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.8353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Tundra Esports51c6,342$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.8212560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex25c6,172$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.8441242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Team Yandex50c6,044$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports51c5,773$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.6222954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Tundra Esports51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports59c5,000$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.751,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports50c4,998$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex38c4,885$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.1522842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports52c4,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16056955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports50c4,482$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.6369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports68c4,299$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.7289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c68…6746backed Tundra Esports53c4,119$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex34c3,814$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.142,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports62c3,735$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.361,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports55c3,698$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.889749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Team Yandex2c3,591$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.685910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex11c3,561$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba7…438abacked Tundra Esports74c3,324$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.32850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Yandex37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports64c2,640$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.951,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex47c2,594$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2261,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Tundra Esports69c2,553$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.9414943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports52c2,536$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.3819147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Tundra Esports51c2,477$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.696349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex48c2,300$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.2380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports55c2,234$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.0119847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex48c2,212$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.3560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports75c2,200$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.5318362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Tundra Esports55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.114956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports53c2,111$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.2727153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Tundra Esports53c2,088$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.272850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex40c2,056$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81596557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Team Yandex38c2,034$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.774932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Tundra Esports73c1,935$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.258458.3%49 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex12c1,930$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2333845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports52c1,900$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.5144149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Tundra Esports73c1,893$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1222363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Yandex14c1,881$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4816945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports63c1,846$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.31,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Tundra Esports55c1,823$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.086339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed Team Yandex11c1,803$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.324947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex35c1,800$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63636759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Team Yandex47c1,762$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.948251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports60c1,688$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.359636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex49c1,620$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.1155751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Team Yandex50c1,601$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports55c1,600$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72233541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Yandex11c1,577$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.149447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports51c1,500$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9658744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Tundra Esports54c1,491$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.264168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Tundra Esports49c1,390$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.654658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports55c1,363$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Team Yandex47c1,337$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.8611450%57 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex47c1,333$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.1733549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Tundra Esports50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6509428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Yandex47c1,276$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2216550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports53c1,191$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.6345139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed Team Yandex38c1,175$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4455339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex49c1,085$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6525444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked Team Yandex48c1,067$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Yandex47c1,062$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9713456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports53c1,000$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2429348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Tundra Esports54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47031245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9915848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…3da4backed Tundra Esports52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.542339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0905…d3f1backed Team Yandex45c960$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex45c954.12$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.560349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Tundra Esports52c946.5$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports61c898.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9755457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex6c850$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports51c755.35$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.5399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Team Yandex47c726.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4723459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Team Yandex51c717.65$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports67c715.02$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.092,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.