TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$685,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Team Falcons46c50,039$22,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,991.135641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons56c13,657$7,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,650.5444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked PARIVISION35c13,212$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,580.2530726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION42c12,243$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,152.2621048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Team Falcons63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0dd…341dbacked PARIVISION50c9,977$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Team Falcons66c9,836$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50012449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION50c8,616$4,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.791,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked PARIVISION56c7,406$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.138342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed PARIVISION40c5,556$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.7535153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons36c5,411$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.7847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons58c5,099$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.336645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION62c5,070$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.0724346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Team Falcons1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Falcons59c4,800$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.0943640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION56c4,747$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.3139248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION54c4,704$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.711,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Falcons60c4,597$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.0615141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed PARIVISION37c4,174$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.5911940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Team Falcons1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons28c3,799$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.9346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Team Falcons40c3,683$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.5212353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Team Falcons64c3,430$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.52825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Falcons29c3,414$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.713546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION36c3,394$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.8246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons22c3,262$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.782,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons32c3,175$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Falcons33c3,014$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Team Falcons1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30329.4%3 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.3522761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION57c2,874$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.871,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons33c2,797$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.975,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION36c2,757$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.761,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons27c2,735$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.7361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION53c2,638$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.6288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION63c2,635$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.191,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION66c2,598$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.942,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed PARIVISION40c2,575$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.4313453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons48c2,553$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.332348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION48c2,520$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.7281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons34c2,507$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.6421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed PARIVISION37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed PARIVISION64c2,317$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.057749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Team Falcons2c2,300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons33c2,182$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.136,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked PARIVISION46c2,130$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.1432536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed PARIVISION37c2,100$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.1411247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed PARIVISION37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Falcons61c1,953$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.133056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Falcons21c1,913$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed PARIVISION77c1,901$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.568750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team Falcons53c1,898$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Team Falcons30c1,889$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2212641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Team Falcons61c1,887$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked PARIVISION39c1,713$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.810945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Team Falcons63c1,697$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.1112153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked PARIVISION36c1,684$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.7525344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Team Falcons62c1,677$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons63c1,649$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.4832548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked PARIVISION66c1,601$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1439970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed PARIVISION56c1,585$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed PARIVISION70c1,562$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.113267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked PARIVISION37c1,482$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.559343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed PARIVISION58c1,438$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6211166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons31c1,426$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.321,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION37c1,369$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.1424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd80a…5874backed Team Falcons74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons46c1,349$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Team Falcons1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79325555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed PARIVISION37c1,300$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8198151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons62c1,269$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Team Falcons11c1,261$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4315935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Team Falcons30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Team Falcons42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9975056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Team Falcons61c1,195$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.0611046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5846…0388backed PARIVISION39c1,178$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.385729.8%17 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Team Falcons59c1,103$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.497537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked PARIVISION39c1,097$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Falcons71c1,096$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.126952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed Team Falcons24c1,066$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked PARIVISION51c1,063$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.381833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Falcons36c1,062$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed PARIVISION54c1,036$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.785549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION56c1,027$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.932,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION37c1,000$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6351,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Team Falcons54c1,000$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.3314355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Team Falcons35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed PARIVISION71c999.96$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed Team Falcons38c998.21$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.887552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed PARIVISION52c961.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.893652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Falcons52c961.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION57c959.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.821528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Team Falcons27c959.99$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.29546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed PARIVISION38c950$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58918536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed PARIVISION73c939.1$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.013540%14 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Team Falcons8c933$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.937341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION54c908.02$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION35c900$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58233452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION50c899.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.