Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14687ba821431892e77a61f665de208a9ad7315ff8497fafab5c4d60701c5636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof REKONIX, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8310…8967backed REKONIX | 56c | 6,243$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.9 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 24c | 1,820$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.94 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 46c | 1,537$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.93 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 47c | 1,480$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.08 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked GLYPH | 44c | 1,164$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.57 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 34c | 1,077$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.53 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed GLYPH | 44c | 889.09$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed GLYPH | 71c | 820.15$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed GLYPH | 46c | 744.77$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked GLYPH | 44c | 689.88$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GLYPH | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GLYPH | 44c | 579.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.71 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed GLYPH | 42c | 516.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.49 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed REKONIX | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed GLYPH | 46c | 421.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GLYPH | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed GLYPH | 44c | 318.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed REKONIX | 58c | 270$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed GLYPH | 44c | 257.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed REKONIX | 60c | 254.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GLYPH | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed GLYPH | 44c | 230.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed GLYPH | 44c | 222.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked GLYPH | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed GLYPH | 44c | 196.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked REKONIX | 33c | 195.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed GLYPH | 45c | 194.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed GLYPH | 73c | 187.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed GLYPH | 47c | 185.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 49c | 180.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 1,263 | 49.6%627 W · 636 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked REKONIX | 42c | 165.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed GLYPH | 44c | 156.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 18c | 149.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked GLYPH | 44c | 144.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GLYPH | 70c | 141.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 71c | 128.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed REKONIX | 34c | 123.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed GLYPH | 44c | 119.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed GLYPH | 44c | 104.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…88d1backed GLYPH | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GLYPH | 65c | 99.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed REKONIX | 42c | 96.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed GLYPH | 42c | 90.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed GLYPH | 43c | 66.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…8973backed REKONIX | 32c | 66.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked GLYPH | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked GLYPH | 43c | 59.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked REKONIX | 27c | 57.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed REKONIX | 44c | 56.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked GLYPH | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…05b5backed REKONIX | 28c | 53.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked REKONIX | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed REKONIX | 27c | 53.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GLYPH | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…839ebacked GLYPH | 44c | 43.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed GLYPH | 44c | 40.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…cfedbacked GLYPH | 44c | 39.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked GLYPH | 44c | 39.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed REKONIX | 33c | 36.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked GLYPH | 44c | 36.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GLYPH | 43c | 35.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked GLYPH | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed REKONIX | 59c | 31.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed REKONIX | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GLYPH | 55c | 29.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…f499backed GLYPH | 44c | 28.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed REKONIX | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GLYPH | 49c | 26.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed GLYPH | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed REKONIX | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed GLYPH | 59c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed REKONIX | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked REKONIX | 58c | 18.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.