Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a114df26415b1a679b46c4c159966f47c3b3f1358b9e058fffc956bd1e2b414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof REKONIX, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 3,224$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.74 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked GLYPH | 62c | 2,113$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.27 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 56c | 1,383$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.64 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed GLYPH | 42c | 1,320$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.89 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked REKONIX | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 17c | 708.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 39c | 493.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed GLYPH | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 21c | 368.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 46c | 364.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked REKONIX | 66c | 297.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 20c | 276.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed GLYPH | 45c | 214.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked GLYPH | 52c | 196.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked GLYPH | 40c | 196.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 24c | 178.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 22c | 134.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed REKONIX | 39c | 99.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed REKONIX | 21c | 88.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…05b5backed GLYPH | 42c | 81.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed GLYPH | 44c | 69.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 31c | 56.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked REKONIX | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked GLYPH | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed REKONIX | 64c | 48.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed REKONIX | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GLYPH | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked REKONIX | 35c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked GLYPH | 45c | 33.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed REKONIX | 58c | 31.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed GLYPH | 38c | 27.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed GLYPH | 72c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.