Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Romania vs Denmark
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66bf1ccbb7d3daa7d25de63130b42df5269298f52c2d8c6513aa17adf91ca857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denmarkof Romania, Denmark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Romania | 34c | 3,670$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Denmark | 78c | 3,637$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.53 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Romania | 51c | 2,610$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.54 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denmark | 63c | 2,563$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.29 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Denmark | 66c | 2,541$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Denmark | 45c | 2,513$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.27 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Denmark | 66c | 2,344$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Denmark | 19c | 1,043$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.3 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Romania | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Denmark | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Romania | 30c | 956.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked Romania | 32c | 874$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Romania | 27c | 859.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.33 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Romania | 27c | 766.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Denmark | 70c | 673.34$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Denmark | 73c | 559.54$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Romania | 34c | 515.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Denmark | 71c | 476.3$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Romania | 34c | 470.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Romania | 30c | 410.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Romania | 30c | 391.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Denmark | 74c | 348.28$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Denmark | 67c | 340$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Romania | 30c | 313.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Denmark | 73c | 296.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Romania | 26c | 287.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Denmark | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Romania | 60c | 193$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Romania | 30c | 159.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Denmark | 64c | 148.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Romania | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Romania | 29c | 121.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Romania | 53c | 116.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Romania | 31c | 95.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Denmark | 70c | 90.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Romania | 74c | 89.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Denmark | 70c | 86.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Romania | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Denmark | 69c | 75.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Romania | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Denmark | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Romania | 34c | 56.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Romania | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Romania | 29c | 50.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Romania | 30c | 47.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Denmark | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…f499backed Romania | 35c | 39.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Denmark | 79c | 31.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Romania | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Romania | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Denmark | 62c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Denmark | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Denmark | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Denmark | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Romania | 59c | 25.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Romania | 49c | 23.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…56cfbacked Denmark | 47c | 21.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Denmark | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Denmark | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Denmark | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Romania | 64c | 18.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Denmark | 74c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.