TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Murash vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REIGNITE FOXXof Murash, REIGNITE FOXX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,149 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x481d…9098backed Murash47c840.13$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked REIGNITE FOXX50c795.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Murash45c744.19$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.275939%23 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Murash50c605$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.876346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked REIGNITE FOXX50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Murash53c588.75$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3826051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed REIGNITE FOXX49c525.56$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5610242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked REIGNITE FOXX47c498.47$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8861035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba9…a78cbacked REIGNITE FOXX51c434.67$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Murash49c428.59$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.913447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Murash49c422$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8215942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed REIGNITE FOXX51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Murash54c390.98$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.164940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b85…b09abacked Murash55c361.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Murash51c353.2$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked REIGNITE FOXX50c325.36$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.111955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Murash51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15353442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed REIGNITE FOXX50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Murash48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Murash59c294.27$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.93831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Murash52c293.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed REIGNITE FOXX53c281.89$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.497342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Murash52c278.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3227546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed REIGNITE FOXX47c277.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.114143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Murash8c271.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5722018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Murash49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed REIGNITE FOXX50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked REIGNITE FOXX46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed REIGNITE FOXX53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed REIGNITE FOXX53c173.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Murash27c165.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed REIGNITE FOXX46c141.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.512138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed REIGNITE FOXX47c137.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+109.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…2317backed REIGNITE FOXX52c135$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed REIGNITE FOXX49c134.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6811843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Murash48c129$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Murash48c129$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+197.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed REIGNITE FOXX50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed REIGNITE FOXX51c111$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.391957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed REIGNITE FOXX47c106.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.89037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed REIGNITE FOXX50c104$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Murash50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.863652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed REIGNITE FOXX50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed REIGNITE FOXX62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7834739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed REIGNITE FOXX44c99.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.984143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked REIGNITE FOXX56c98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Murash17c97.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.791,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…3fd9backed REIGNITE FOXX52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed REIGNITE FOXX53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked REIGNITE FOXX53c88.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.683638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Murash50c85.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.914551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Murash53c82.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe55a…ccfbbacked Murash49c81.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REIGNITE FOXX47c80.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Murash45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Murash49c76.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.623537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Murash53c70.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.521353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed REIGNITE FOXX53c70.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.016251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed REIGNITE FOXX37c69.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9226730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed REIGNITE FOXX52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8810550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked REIGNITE FOXX47c59.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3260154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Murash54c55.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.125952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5899…330ebacked Murash53c54.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd6…e668backed Murash49c52.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed REIGNITE FOXX35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed REIGNITE FOXX74c48.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Murash48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.045834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Murash44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.243056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked Murash55c45.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed REIGNITE FOXX49c43.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.999053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed REIGNITE FOXX46c43.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Murash49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5811248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked Murash61c41.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.063647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked REIGNITE FOXX52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed REIGNITE FOXX49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked REIGNITE FOXX37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.946924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed Murash54c36.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d43…3576backed Murash53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed REIGNITE FOXX38c33.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x152b…9430backed Murash49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed REIGNITE FOXX49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.799845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7f…f922backed Murash49c26.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed REIGNITE FOXX51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77eb…7f9bbacked REIGNITE FOXX60c24.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.893571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Murash50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Murash53c23.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…cfedbacked Murash56c23.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a4…3f67backed REIGNITE FOXX49c22.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Murash53c21.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked REIGNITE FOXX49c21.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9754…fb93backed Murash51c20.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Murash51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.227847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed REIGNITE FOXX79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f5…c651backed Murash55c18.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0782…11e1backed Murash62c16.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5130%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed REIGNITE FOXX72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.