TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof GIANTX, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,337,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,594,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,337,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 783 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1139…3a92backed Fnatic1c196,707$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.962759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Fnatic1c66,575$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.663775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed GIANTX80c51,700$41,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,340.0727735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Fnatic31c47,200$14,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,457.3477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed GIANTX61c34,953$21,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,474.866159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Fnatic20c28,060$5,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,612.0515153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fnatic8c24,704$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.472,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Fnatic29c20,218$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,776.011,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed GIANTX80c17,613$14,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Fnatic46c15,525$7,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,141.374544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic32c12,508$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.261,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Fnatic2c11,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.777869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GIANTX58c10,700$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,483.951,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ce…ed13backed GIANTX75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.013083.3%25 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Fnatic46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed GIANTX57c9,795$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.719456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed GIANTX53c9,768$5,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,553.271,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed GIANTX57c9,000$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.9821028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked GIANTX64c8,955$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.1759952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Fnatic46c8,711$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.0422624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Fnatic3c7,777$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3127353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Fnatic26c7,384$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.2611035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic31c7,185$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.081,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Fnatic0c6,833$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Fnatic44c6,821$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed GIANTX73c6,749$4,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.767276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Fnatic49c6,610$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.391,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed GIANTX78c6,196$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.0945248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Fnatic21c6,086$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.6357945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Fnatic43c6,000$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.2821144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Fnatic48c5,777$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic23c5,433$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.11,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f5…e395backed Fnatic44c5,227$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Fnatic43c5,204$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.421,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed GIANTX70c5,164$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.132568%17 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed GIANTX54c5,134$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.7731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed GIANTX56c5,115$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.621137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4d…911abacked GIANTX56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…f2cdbacked GIANTX56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e2…625fbacked Fnatic44c4,773$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Fnatic39c4,529$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.041,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed GIANTX54c4,315$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.8328361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked GIANTX73c4,040$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.511,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed GIANTX59c3,656$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.9523938.1%91 W · 148 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Fnatic41c3,652$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.8411435.1%40 W · 74 L+0.5wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed GIANTX50c3,551$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.2631036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked GIANTX69c3,453$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.9418046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic25c3,306$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.021,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Fnatic21c3,235$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.3114835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Fnatic42c3,136$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.252466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed GIANTX60c3,109$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.741,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic28c3,066$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.3185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Fnatic44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32043442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked GIANTX54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.984949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GIANTX53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c97…fad7backed GIANTX80c2,925$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed GIANTX58c2,916$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.0824939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed GIANTX55c2,888$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.551,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…7294backed Fnatic30c2,866$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8465742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Fnatic35c2,802$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.719645.9%90 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked GIANTX54c2,773$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.2190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed GIANTX56c2,555$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.2343151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Fnatic49c2,416$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.0344047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Fnatic5c2,380$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11929527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed GIANTX57c2,374$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.7269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ba…d205backed GIANTX57c2,363$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Fnatic46c2,300$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0492,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff49…2f07backed GIANTX60c2,288$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked GIANTX55c2,216$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.369637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fnatic23c2,174$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6782044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked GIANTX56c2,091$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5528166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Fnatic52c2,089$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.392560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed GIANTX59c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed GIANTX54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Fnatic44c1,930$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.5921134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fnatic20c1,919$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.761,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed GIANTX59c1,907$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.8142840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fnatic27c1,896$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.472,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic47c1,880$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.783,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fnatic30c1,874$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.831,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fnatic42c1,785$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6470456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Fnatic13c1,771$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.464641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked GIANTX57c1,763$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.881833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed GIANTX75c1,752$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.84366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked GIANTX57c1,712$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1796057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed GIANTX54c1,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Fnatic48c1,680$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked GIANTX60c1,671$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6330160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Fnatic9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Fnatic42c1,646$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.2524065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked GIANTX56c1,620$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic44c1,596$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.242,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Fnatic44c1,570$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69116034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Fnatic40c1,530$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1930050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Fnatic43c1,518$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked GIANTX60c1,492$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.825268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb268…5bb3backed Fnatic10c1,468$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.542218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked GIANTX53c1,432$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Fnatic7c1,404$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6918554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.