TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof GIANTX, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf78…7736backed Fnatic41c48,897$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0006159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Fnatic15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25027353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked GIANTX78c8,194$6,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.7159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed GIANTX66c7,777$5,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.1731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GIANTX64c7,700$4,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.981,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Fnatic39c7,412$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.6577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Fnatic9c7,313$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.9129527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Fnatic36c7,258$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6359456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Fnatic5c6,666$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.193775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Fnatic29c5,837$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.041,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Fnatic47c5,680$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.7443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GIANTX64c5,120$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.1982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Fnatic34c5,074$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.1323020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed GIANTX61c4,838$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.21,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic38c4,004$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.613,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked GIANTX54c3,836$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.6732345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed GIANTX53c3,591$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.771,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed GIANTX64c3,457$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.091,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GIANTX60c3,400$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.32,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Fnatic35c3,073$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.1414835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Fnatic31c3,061$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2711037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Fnatic31c3,000$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7424065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed GIANTX63c3,000$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.011,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed GIANTX65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed GIANTX58c2,839$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.8339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic35c2,726$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.32,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Fnatic25c2,722$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6707435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1139…3a92backed Fnatic19c2,653$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked GIANTX65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed GIANTX70c2,341$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.8469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked GIANTX63c2,292$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.011,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed GIANTX72c2,211$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.158949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed GIANTX59c2,005$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.051,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked GIANTX69c1,929$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.4618046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Fnatic34c1,865$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.7846637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Fnatic2c1,849$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.496297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic23c1,751$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.491,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX63c1,731$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.491,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed GIANTX79c1,709$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.531,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked GIANTX60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed GIANTX66c1,651$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.9871249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked GIANTX64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa90…6b3abacked GIANTX60c1,592$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed GIANTX65c1,574$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.91,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GIANTX65c1,537$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.931,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic24c1,529$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Fnatic13c1,524$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6512539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Fnatic22c1,484$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3313165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Fnatic36c1,397$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GIANTX56c1,384$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.921,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed Fnatic35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42052747.6%251 W · 276 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fnatic19c1,126$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.613,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed GIANTX69c1,090$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.686251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked GIANTX55c1,016$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.651160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Fnatic41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41045937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Fnatic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick1cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Fnatic29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Fnatic21c943.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.389218.5%17 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked GIANTX66c907.58$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5876955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GIANTX70c897$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.682,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8f…57c7backed Fnatic36c876$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.525356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Fnatic28c870.94$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed GIANTX57c866.67$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6733143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Fnatic24c830.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.191,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked GIANTX63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fnatic26c792.37$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.741,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Fnatic11c786.01$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4628827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fnatic33c776.46$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.372,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Fnatic44c710.85$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.611,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed GIANTX56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fnatic38c651.03$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.141,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked GIANTX54c621.17$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7426155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked GIANTX63c612.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Fnatic29c602.17$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5840237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Fnatic34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20430050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed GIANTX54c600$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2781,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…e1e1backed GIANTX79c600$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12910759.8%64 W · 43 L-12.4wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-16.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Fnatic34c590$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.64833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GIANTX61c543.25$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.441,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Fnatic36c507.7$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3117249.4%85 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked GIANTX59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed GIANTX56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Fnatic15c484.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2523832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Fnatic41c482$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed GIANTX54c462.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.511,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked GIANTX56c452$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8827447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked GIANTX54c442.59$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Fnatic42c420.78$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7346153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Fnatic21c402.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3253640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed GIANTX78c400$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.122867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX77c397.14$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.242,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed GIANTX62c367.74$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.746761.2%41 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed GIANTX79c356$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.767245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX59c348.39$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.342,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed GIANTX59c320.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3412137.2%45 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Fnatic36c317.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9519948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Fnatic32c314.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8796…e255backed Fnatic32c313.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed Fnatic32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032741.9%137 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed GIANTX66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10264453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.