TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: SaD Esports vs sleepers (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
sleepersof SaD Esports, sleepers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,029 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked sleepers49c17,279$8,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,749.5678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed SaD Esports51c12,741$6,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,497.9613558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed SaD Esports44c11,673$5,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,143.1854751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed sleepers48c2,433$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.4523146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed SaD Esports50c2,162$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.913345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca5…7a68backed sleepers50c1,652$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed SaD Esports51c1,050$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.526051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SaD Esports51c988.35$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked sleepers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked sleepers51c944.37$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.912369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed SaD Esports42c868.01$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.915225%13 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked sleepers50c735$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.53770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked sleepers51c647.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.063743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked sleepers51c597$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.536762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed SaD Esports17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8523447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed SaD Esports54c483.45$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.931546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed SaD Esports67c403.79$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.453831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked SaD Esports50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed sleepers51c366$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.342166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed sleepers50c340.62$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6211843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed sleepers51c333.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.332065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked sleepers48c331$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4618241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed SaD Esports51c307.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1576533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed sleepers48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked sleepers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SaD Esports51c292.75$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SaD Esports22c292.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.21,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc352…a152backed sleepers51c278.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.654663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked sleepers49c269$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked sleepers51c267$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed SaD Esports29c257.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2214652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed sleepers50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed SaD Esports52c199.77$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.884940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked SaD Esports22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed sleepers47c169.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9441835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed sleepers49c169$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked sleepers51c167$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.831553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed sleepers50c167$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked sleepers51c134$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.664959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked sleepers51c134$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.664168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed SaD Esports65c118.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.431353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked SaD Esports53c112.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605561.8%34 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed sleepers74c105.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8281134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked sleepers51c101$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.494555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed sleepers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed SaD Esports53c94.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked sleepers50c92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed SaD Esports52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.863652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked SaD Esports50c73.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.751216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed sleepers74c70.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3834739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed sleepers51c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.327163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed sleepers50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed sleepers51c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed sleepers51c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.325451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed sleepers51c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked sleepers72c66.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4840254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked sleepers51c66.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.563070%21 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed SaD Esports23c65.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.832630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc5…ab06backed SaD Esports52c57.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed SaD Esports52c52.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.475952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed sleepers78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed sleepers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed sleepers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.510749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0782…11e1backed SaD Esports67c48.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7430%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d43…3576backed SaD Esports53c47.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked SaD Esports53c46.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked SaD Esports55c45.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed SaD Esports29c44.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2516050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed sleepers50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked sleepers49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed SaD Esports53c38.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.253243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked SaD Esports54c37.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.233647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed sleepers51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.296756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed SaD Esports67c35.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed sleepers51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1511454.4%62 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed sleepers46c34.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed SaD Esports37c31.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.618948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3d…f35abacked sleepers50c30.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.133268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed sleepers79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.36647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83c…92bfbacked SaD Esports67c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed SaD Esports52c27.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd69…4b8bbacked SaD Esports65c24.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked sleepers77c23.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed sleepers51c23.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7f…7e25backed SaD Esports54c23.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked SaD Esports65c22.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f5…c651backed SaD Esports67c21.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed SaD Esports55c21.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed SaD Esports53c20.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed sleepers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…cfedbacked SaD Esports55c19.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6b…0aa4backed SaD Esports67c16.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked sleepers79c16.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed sleepers77c14.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.229151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.