Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a052c13ef256f59473ee24b60a9943bef552bd71926cbacea9aebaec83d4311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Sentinels | 1c | 42,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 0%0 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed Disguised | 38c | 33,758$12,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,013.5 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels | 64c | 22,714$14,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,459.58 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Disguised | 33c | 20,872$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,879.77 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels | 17c | 18,404$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 35c | 18,213$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,926.31 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Sentinels | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sentinels | 64c | 8,615$5,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,548.9 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sentinels | 55c | 8,363$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.85 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 33c | 8,140$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.18 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 36c | 7,449$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.98 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels | 48c | 6,000$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.48 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 49c | 5,999$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.96 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Sentinels | 45c | 5,955$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.05 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Disguised | 38c | 5,571$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.4 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 66c | 5,337$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.34 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 67c | 4,805$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.44 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Disguised | 68c | 4,208$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.24 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 42c | 4,155$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.01 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels | 62c | 3,558$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.58 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Sentinels | 2c | 3,446$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Disguised | 39c | 3,276$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.97 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Sentinels | 62c | 3,118$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.16 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels | 55c | 3,106$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.79 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 30c | 3,096$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.59 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels | 59c | 3,006$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.98 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Sentinels | 78c | 2,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sentinels | 61c | 2,524$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.69 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sentinels | 61c | 2,451$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.11 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Disguised | 73c | 2,377$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 62c | 2,331$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.2 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…0670backed Disguised | 62c | 2,213$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.48 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Disguised | 38c | 2,201$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.69 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Sentinels | 51c | 2,120$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.5 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Disguised | 40c | 2,101$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.43 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels | 59c | 2,100$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…e12dbacked Disguised | 39c | 2,075$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Disguised | 37c | 2,029$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.28 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Disguised | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Disguised | 38c | 1,997$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.44 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Disguised | 39c | 1,932$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.44 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels | 9c | 1,920$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sentinels | 61c | 1,905$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.54 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Disguised | 38c | 1,895$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Disguised | 38c | 1,849$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.13 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Disguised | 56c | 1,844$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.34 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels | 18c | 1,814$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Disguised | 41c | 1,596$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.97 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Disguised | 80c | 1,454$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.44 | 464 | 36.4%169 W · 295 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Disguised | 38c | 1,452$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Disguised | 57c | 1,376$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.17 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Disguised | 63c | 1,335$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels | 5c | 1,300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Sentinels | 17c | 1,208$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Sentinels | 21c | 1,201$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels | 23c | 1,200$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sentinels | 45c | 1,187$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.24 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Sentinels | 47c | 1,150$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.28 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…d8c4backed Sentinels | 18c | 1,108$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sentinels | 53c | 1,100$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.07 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Sentinels | 25c | 1,061$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.02 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Disguised | 39c | 1,055$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.81 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sentinels | 52c | 1,038$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.29 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Sentinels | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Disguised | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Disguised | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Disguised | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…be10backed Sentinels | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…416ebacked Sentinels | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Disguised | 41c | 993.14$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.14 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…0dd7backed Sentinels | 31c | 959.73$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.97 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 42c | 957.35$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.93 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Disguised | 46c | 931.57$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.98 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Sentinels | 40c | 900$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…7b35backed Disguised | 66c | 900$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 42c | 874.99$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.49 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels | 17c | 839.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Disguised | 65c | 835.41$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Sentinels | 63c | 791.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised | 38c | 776.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.73 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Sentinels | 7c | 771.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Disguised | 38c | 757$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Disguised | 67c | 747.18$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Sentinels | 64c | 718.38$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.67 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Sentinels | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Disguised | 77c | 698.14$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Sentinels | 62c | 688$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Disguised | 37c | 679.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Sentinels | 69c | 676$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.26 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…a488backed Sentinels | 60c | 643.08$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Disguised | 39c | 641.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Sentinels | 34c | 640.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Sentinels | 62c | 625$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Sentinels | 62c | 625$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sentinels | 61c | 607.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.87 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…6f38backed Sentinels | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked Sentinels | 13c | 582$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 134 | 33.6%45 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.