Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11845b87f3a4cc83287095f91f397b4641d62dfb37620e62d11bdf2fc0e3807c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd812…2558backed Disguised | 36c | 34,026$12,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,776.94 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Sentinels | 64c | 20,000$12,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,797.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…895dbacked Sentinels | 59c | 13,940$8,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.7 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Sentinels | 47c | 10,364$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.71 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Sentinels | 64c | 5,520$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.19 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Disguised | 53c | 5,162$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Disguised | 68c | 4,938$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.61 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Sentinels | 44c | 4,631$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.74 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels | 37c | 4,229$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.9 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels | 42c | 3,826$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.75 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 41c | 3,510$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.86 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Disguised | 62c | 3,100$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.43 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 34c | 2,866$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.14 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Sentinels | 31c | 2,646$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.24 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…d8c4backed Disguised | 64c | 2,447$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.81 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Sentinels | 32c | 2,365$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.15 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…43b7backed Disguised | 58c | 2,263$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.54 | 129 | 70.5%91 W · 38 L | +16.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 38c | 2,222$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.71 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…8137backed Disguised | 64c | 2,063$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.59 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 61c | 2,036$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.46 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Sentinels | 40c | 1,951$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.8 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 39c | 1,824$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.96 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Disguised | 46c | 1,806$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.42 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Disguised | 36c | 1,666$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.24 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Disguised | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,600$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.91 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…0670backed Sentinels | 29c | 1,541$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.24 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Disguised | 61c | 1,400$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Disguised | 48c | 1,389$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.58 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Sentinels | 2c | 1,218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels | 31c | 1,135$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Disguised | 67c | 1,103$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Sentinels | 51c | 1,100$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…416ebacked Disguised | 59c | 1,100$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.85 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised | 66c | 1,021$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Disguised | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…7b35backed Disguised | 60c | 1,000$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised | 65c | 927$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.65 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Sentinels | 50c | 926.57$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.43 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Disguised | 56c | 909.87$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 47c | 881.93$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.28 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Disguised | 52c | 873.26$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 53c | 865.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.06 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Disguised | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 69c | 860.36$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Sentinels | 48c | 855.45$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.45 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…140bbacked Disguised | 76c | 809$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Sentinels | 65c | 786$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.9 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Sentinels | 64c | 749.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Disguised | 39c | 648.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.59 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…6be5backed Sentinels | 16c | 626.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Sentinels | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 71%93 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Disguised | 48c | 600$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…2dc9backed Sentinels | 55c | 599.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.59 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Disguised | 63c | 599.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.19 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Disguised | 68c | 599.43$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Disguised | 49c | 568.71$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.88 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed Disguised | 67c | 520.1$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Sentinels | 37c | 500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…6f38backed Sentinels | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.83 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…0dd7backed Disguised | 56c | 499.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.71 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised | 66c | 493$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Disguised | 51c | 492.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sentinels | 58c | 490.03$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Disguised | 65c | 487.56$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Sentinels | 64c | 480$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Sentinels | 63c | 475.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed Sentinels | 45c | 465.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Sentinels | 33c | 461.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Disguised | 50c | 456.66$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Disguised | 35c | 449.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Disguised | 77c | 432.92$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sentinels | 29c | 423.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Sentinels | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Disguised | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Sentinels | 66c | 399.91$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Disguised | 78c | 384.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed Sentinels | 53c | 376.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Sentinels | 48c | 374.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels | 63c | 370.52$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Sentinels | 44c | 370$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Disguised | 56c | 365.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Sentinels | 49c | 355.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed Sentinels | 32c | 348.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…5c58backed Sentinels | 32c | 341.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Disguised | 41c | 337.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Disguised | 46c | 331$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Sentinels | 61c | 326.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Sentinels | 28c | 307.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Sentinels | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…75ddbacked Disguised | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Sentinels | 63c | 299.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Disguised | 44c | 298.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Sentinels | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Disguised | 47c | 291.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group StageDisguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.