Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4cb5411c46625a19046ccbb7e00f4e2844a31264d08dc9b9f6ef14b38e59d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Disguised | 38c | 16,500$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.01 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Sentinels | 63c | 14,125$8,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed Disguised | 44c | 11,346$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.08 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sentinels | 71c | 9,076$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.35 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 22c | 6,621$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.05 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels | 76c | 5,031$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.74 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Disguised | 43c | 4,669$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Disguised | 39c | 3,598$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 55c | 2,952$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.34 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels | 64c | 2,709$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.21 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels | 55c | 2,378$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.99 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Sentinels | 57c | 2,077$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.45 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Sentinels | 56c | 1,851$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.83 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels | 57c | 1,509$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…0670backed Disguised | 14c | 1,480$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Disguised | 28c | 1,464$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 55c | 1,435$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.33 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 22c | 1,386$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.91 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 37c | 1,127$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.96 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…5588backed Sentinels | 77c | 1,111$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Sentinels | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Disguised | 4c | 1,060$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 64c | 1,000$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.17 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 75c | 999$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised | 37c | 975$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…416ebacked Sentinels | 75c | 974.59$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Sentinels | 64c | 960$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…e639backed Disguised | 21c | 917.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Sentinels | 78c | 900$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 36c | 899.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Sentinels | 57c | 874.91$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Disguised | 34c | 838.24$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…43b7backed Sentinels | 76c | 837.34$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 129 | 70.5%91 W · 38 L | +16.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Sentinels | 65c | 795.96$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Disguised | 17c | 793$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 26c | 778.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Disguised | 28c | 749.33$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sentinels | 56c | 745.12$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Disguised | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Sentinels | 64c | 681.25$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Sentinels | 55c | 634.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Sentinels | 64c | 626.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Disguised | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Disguised | 29c | 600$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Sentinels | 68c | 587.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sentinels | 66c | 500$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Disguised | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Sentinels | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Disguised | 28c | 476.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sentinels | 55c | 459.11$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Disguised | 4c | 450.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Disguised | 34c | 439.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Disguised | 38c | 434.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Disguised | 36c | 409.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Disguised | 8c | 407$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Disguised | 50c | 403.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Disguised | 8c | 399$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Disguised | 8c | 387$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Disguised | 11c | 383.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised | 51c | 380.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…486cbacked Disguised | 7c | 370.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Sentinels | 62c | 368.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…8137backed Disguised | 33c | 365.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Sentinels | 60c | 350.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Disguised | 41c | 344.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked Sentinels | 65c | 332.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 330$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Sentinels | 51c | 328.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 14c | 316.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Disguised | 12c | 301$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…6f38backed Disguised | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Sentinels | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels | 59c | 299.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels | 61c | 299.87$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Disguised | 15c | 289.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Disguised | 27c | 279.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 37c | 278.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Disguised | 40c | 273$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Disguised | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Disguised | 8c | 260.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Sentinels | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Disguised | 8c | 245$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Disguised | 40c | 242$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Disguised | 46c | 238.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…2dc9backed Sentinels | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Disguised | 22c | 227.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed Disguised | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed Sentinels | 67c | 222.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 31c | 219.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Disguised | 8c | 217$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Sentinels | 73c | 215.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Disguised | 26c | 213.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Disguised | 27c | 205.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Disguised | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Disguised | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Sentinels | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group StageDisguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.