TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes54c97,595$53,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,061.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c41,641$20,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,659.134,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c23,301$10,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,542.292,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c8,447$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,054.473,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No46c6,528$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.321080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.745149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.743956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d3…5a11backed No46c5,862$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde44…f67abacked No47c5,824$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+131.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes54c5,633$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.783246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…54c8backed No46c5,320$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4641…672bbacked No47c5,060$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+131.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2c…3ab1backed Yes53c4,828$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed Yes53c4,646$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4735442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76a0…4b1abacked Yes54c4,549$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c4,453$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4845…cd3dbacked Yes54c4,342$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c3,952$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.2792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed No45c3,917$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.3912236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No46c3,763$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.223943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…4569backed No46c3,713$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7da…f1a2backed Yes53c3,470$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes44c3,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.993831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes50c2,600$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.5116149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb92…af8fbacked Yes53c2,586$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c2,563$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.4469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c2,387$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.171,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…eaafbacked Yes54c2,288$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes35c2,169$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.0410736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c2,098$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.6158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes52c1,554$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8087540%30 W · 45 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No46c1,400$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes51c1,359$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c1,263$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.0735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No55c1,240$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.947055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c1,101$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes51c972.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes56c881.18$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.359629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes52c809.06$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.4960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes16c791.69$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.78825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes48c732.57$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6620148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes56c721.99$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.323262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c711.71$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7375751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes48c665.52$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.622245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes53c651.19$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3483748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No46c615.95$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1570050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes48c614.58$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No47c601.53$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.8131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes48c556.25$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26713263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes51c550.77$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No48c549.85$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4211753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes48c516.71$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.521,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No52c475.37$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No46c413.81$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.464156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No46c408.94$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c375$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes11c372.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf09b…2101backed Yes55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes31c351.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010547.6%50 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes51c312.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Yes33c300.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…a56fbacked Yes51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cad…ba90backed Yes57c292.07$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No45c284.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8217659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes5c281.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.064936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf368…6499backed Yes18c260.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes54c237.03$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12911264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Yes55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes25c204.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5232444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed Yes55c201.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603850%19 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No52c197.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8913648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1590…3c9bbacked Yes51c196.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No50c194.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.991,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Yes18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No47c190.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4919260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c18…ab90backed No45c187.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes52c180.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4661032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Yes18c180$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes56c178.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x694a…ec41backed Yes11c177.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes55c174.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.651741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c172.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes55c168.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.911844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x24de…da7fbacked Yes52c143.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No47c142.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.