La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3de3cbd9d3634565002cb04424e38ec648e24d05d7dcb652c40c4c57cddea5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 4,155$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.41 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 2,067$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 18c | 1,363$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 1,133$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 11c | 888$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 78c | 858.47$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 762.08$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.26 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 699.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 632.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 80c | 585$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 529$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 24c | 442.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 21c | 361.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 361.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 285.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed No | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 259$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 247.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 173.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…dcdebacked Yes | 26c | 169.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 25c | 156.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 154.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 29c | 152.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 12c | 145.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 79c | 129.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 18c | 99.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 16c | 95.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 22c | 88.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 86.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Yes | 13c | 82.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 15c | 74.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…183fbacked Yes | 16c | 73.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…f879backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 62.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Yes | 22c | 51.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 24c | 50.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 25c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 28c | 43.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 71c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 29c | 36.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.