La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7385668bda47be09814bcbe061bb7118652dd61e0ea52c178ae049db91769650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 873.53$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 716.75$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 627.25$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.86 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 605.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed No | 34c | 592.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 199.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 51c | 197.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 187.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 157.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 36c | 138.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 44c | 133.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 14c | 108.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed No | 38c | 91.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked No | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed No | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 75.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 45c | 73.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…961abacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 63.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 29c | 63.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 23c | 62.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 55.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 73c | 53.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…77d4backed No | 37c | 50.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked No | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 43.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 60c | 41.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 37.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…bd9bbacked No | 34c | 34.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed No | 70c | 15.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 69c | 14.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-28?No won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.