La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4577a92da74078f50bbdf65192c62a839b07c57c9ea390e255883c9b8b63f316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,950$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Over | 3c | 2,365$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…ce79backed Over | 29c | 2,117$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 14c | 700.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 641.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 76c | 538.29$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 32c | 298.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 35c | 279.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 275$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 71c | 199.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…58d3backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 23c | 189.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 168.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Under | 68c | 135.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e36cbacked Over | 40c | 126.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 26c | 119.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 78c | 114.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 78c | 114.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 105.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 101.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 76c | 94.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 24c | 92.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 88.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 79.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 32c | 78.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 15c | 76.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 17c | 70.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Over | 24c | 69.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 76c | 68.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 76c | 67.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…8dd3backed Over | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 73c | 59.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 35c | 57.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 30c | 50.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 74c | 46.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 43.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 73c | 38.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 72c | 22.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 78c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 79c | 17.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 78c | 13.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.