TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c2,422$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.424,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Yes47c1,372$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4137829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No65c248.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16124048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes54c227.78$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7817541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4511…624fbacked No47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff3c…373fbacked No47c219$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No47c218.47$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.685530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…2c92backed Yes53c218.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6818…3a1bbacked Yes53c217.46$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…040cbacked Yes53c216.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92e…ce1ebacked Yes53c216.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ff…755dbacked Yes53c216.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f1…5fb9backed No47c216$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a2…f813backed No47c216$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb77…7f06backed No47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4508…5ad0backed No47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c59…33d1backed Yes53c214.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb770…b37bbacked No47c214$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea9…2146backed Yes53c213.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0472…2b6dbacked Yes53c213.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d8…336ebacked Yes53c213.53$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…e952backed No47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c84…89aebacked No47c211$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfad…56f5backed No47c211$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…87e9backed Yes53c210.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaed9…b7d5backed No47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6052…04fbbacked Yes53c209.82$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd0…34a1backed Yes53c209.72$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c63…0fe0backed Yes53c208.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed98…97d2backed Yes53c208.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4252…e9d2backed Yes53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ec…cd54backed No47c207$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510b…89bfbacked Yes53c206.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…9e37backed Yes53c206.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…ed8abacked No47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc873…67cebacked Yes53c205.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…adbfbacked Yes53c205.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0433…da74backed No47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c3…44dbbacked No47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…4693backed No47c204$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…78b6backed No47c203$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ce…eb1fbacked No47c203$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…c513backed Yes53c202.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ca…19a2backed Yes53c202.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x879e…818ebacked Yes53c202.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaa…d731backed No47c202$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d2…dbd5backed No47c202$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624a…07babacked Yes53c201.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b2…95ffbacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fef…d7bdbacked No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…79c2backed Yes53c199.46$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0f…2aa0backed No47c199$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe5…a9d1backed No47c199$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917c…9bb4backed No47c199$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…3808backed No47c198$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b9…988ebacked No47c198$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3e…d5e4backed No47c198$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b51…b324backed Yes53c197.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…18bebacked No47c197$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf67…ef39backed No47c197$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d3…6d98backed No47c197$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fa…ec74backed Yes53c196.37$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec18…1596backed Yes53c196.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c6…75ecbacked No47c196$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…0bfbbacked No47c196$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fda…7968backed No47c195$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5c…5d3ebacked Yes53c194.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe545…63e1backed Yes53c193.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de4…78b7backed No47c193$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8831…17b0backed Yes53c192.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b88…d36dbacked Yes53c192.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1adb…7596backed Yes53c192.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a51…bedfbacked Yes53c192.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…c481backed Yes53c192.05$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x304a…0d5cbacked No47c192$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c2…1acdbacked Yes53c190.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1177…8f55backed Yes53c189.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e2…42bfbacked Yes53c188.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89b…d906backed Yes53c188.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ce…d2d7backed No47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed6…fbebbacked No47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c1…9356backed No47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa6…dcf3backed No47c187$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes53c186.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.793748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7985…e475backed Yes53c186.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3eb…63bebacked No47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x411b…bb09backed No47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2df3…f19abacked No47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696d…f6c9backed Yes53c185.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…7d2dbacked Yes53c185.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4066…f052backed No47c185$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdea…6dfbbacked Yes53c184.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6010…4578backed No47c184$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931a…92fcbacked No47c184$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…1f4fbacked No47c184$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5184…053bbacked Yes53c182.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614d…0c8bbacked Yes53c182.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2b…71c0backed Yes53c182.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.