La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x240cdd287840d0f631a420be22ffe985a7de0bb1c5042168eed72b9b3524349d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 14c | 18,672$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 4,232$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.01 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 18c | 2,177$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.72 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 65c | 1,531$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.83 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 1,164$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.85 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 8c | 803.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 21c | 731.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Over | 73c | 549.08$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 21c | 429.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 373.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 21c | 351.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 21c | 341.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 72c | 331.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 18c | 251.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Under | 25c | 200.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 28c | 192.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 185.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 173.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 109.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 100.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…b4e2backed Under | 23c | 92.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 70c | 72.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 23c | 64.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 26c | 63.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Under | 29c | 55.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 52.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 76c | 35.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 75c | 33.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 74c | 30.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over | 73c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…9959backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 68c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.