La Liga · resolved market
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d785589d97a6faae06fd4b7b7a3d496a697ee35c873d9c0c4a04e4bc9e19269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cádiz CFof AD Ceuta FC, Cádiz CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cádiz CF | 72c | 1,101$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked AD Ceuta FC | 25c | 1,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked AD Ceuta FC | 31c | 1,019$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.23 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…a651backed AD Ceuta FC | 23c | 514.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…ab4dbacked Cádiz CF | 77c | 514.76$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed AD Ceuta FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cádiz CF | 75c | 218.12$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Cádiz CF | 42c | 184.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cádiz CF | 72c | 138.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Cádiz CF | 72c | 136.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cádiz CF | 72c | 135.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cádiz CF | 71c | 130.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cádiz CF | 71c | 130.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked AD Ceuta FC | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed AD Ceuta FC | 23c | 100.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed AD Ceuta FC | 33c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cádiz CF | 75c | 82.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Cádiz CF | 74c | 79.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Cádiz CF | 72c | 34.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cádiz CF | 76c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…e4b0backed Cádiz CF | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Cádiz CF | 78c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Cádiz CF | 65c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.