La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1334b11daff1a79b59dffcf8cb27f843bbbf61c23ed695f479e6642ff63a03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 7,542$4,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.12 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 7,374$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 2,228$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,312$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 994.05$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.66 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 61c | 959.26$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.44 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 835.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.98 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 766.16$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.63 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 45c | 749.35$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.99 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 38c | 619.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.39 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…50bbbacked Over | 54c | 528$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 370.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 46c | 324.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 42c | 262.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 42c | 228.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 197.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 181.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 56c | 159.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 57c | 155.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 56c | 145.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 127.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 45c | 111.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over | 45c | 97.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 42c | 97.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 95.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 58c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 68.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 48c | 66.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over | 45c | 59.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 59.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 47c | 54.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 57c | 49.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 42c | 47.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 42c | 46.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 47c | 45.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 59c | 43.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Under | 44c | 42.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 46c | 41.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 42c | 39.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 59c | 39.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 36.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 54c | 35.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 58c | 29.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 60c | 27.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Under | 70c | 24.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 22.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 61c | 21.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.