Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d17bbb7c1cefc0d483353946da691fd02464d2f0b45dd3729f1bc1ee039772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,427$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 53c | 727.78$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.78 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 679.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 30c | 655.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 49c | 409.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 362.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 278.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 50c | 198.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 28c | 165.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 88.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 19c | 67.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 66.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 53c | 60.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 54c | 55.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5this page
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Odense BK (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.