Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f02d80ce39868a529b1e48c305fab60ec3c8da7eca04ac968eac04de36e89cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 4,351$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 63c | 2,081$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.66 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 39c | 2,067$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 69c | 1,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,073$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 53c | 569.74$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.91 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 457.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 346.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 28c | 299.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 287.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 69.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 65c | 46.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 46c | 43.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 59c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 17.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5this page
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Odense BK (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Randers FC (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.