England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0eadbd01a04bc02cc22dbd5c6ff964f78c5e08087d6a9e3eb820e865bdca853

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,709 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	30c	9,660$2,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,770.18	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over	70c	3,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.97	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	33c	1,135$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.04	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over	68c	795.91$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.22	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	23c	571.89$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.35	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	54c	546.48$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.38	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	18c	530$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.8	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	22c	529.49$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.52	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	28c	458.84$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.44	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	24c	450$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.7	97	59.8%58 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over	79c	409.08$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.17	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over	60c	347$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.2	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over	71c	346.86$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.27	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1b…94b2backed Over	79c	341.77$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	50c	300$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	19c	297.67$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.45	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	75c	265.33$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	79c	260$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.4	304	63.5%193 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over	65c	230.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Over	78c	226.88$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.47	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	30c	206.12$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.68	237	51.1%121 W · 116 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	77c	205.38$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.11	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	29c	200.93$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.14	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Over	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	56c	186.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over	55c	177.78$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.78	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Over	13c	163.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.03	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	25c	160.42$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.32	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under	26c	156.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.58	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	34cpaid	+35%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over	54c	144.44$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	79c	134.37$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.36	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over	76c	131.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over	75c	130$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	78c	129.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.95	222	58.6%130 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under	32c	116.5$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.98	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	66c	109.56$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.25	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	159	45.3%72 W · 87 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over	53c	94.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under	22c	92.48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.81	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	51c	91.84$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	30c	86.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.6	864	55.3%478 W · 386 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	76c	85$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.41	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	47c	83.07$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+5.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked Over	71c	80.28$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over	47c	78.11$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.71	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6724…9592backed Under	21c	76.86$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.76	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over	45c	68$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Under	19c	65.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.29	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e6…d79fbacked Over	74c	63.85$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Under	26c	60.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.49	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	51c	58.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	20c	50.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61bb…1627backed Over	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over	71c	40.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked Over	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	75cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed Over	73c	35.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	41.2%63 W · 90 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	45c	32.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…56e8backed Over	78c	32.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	48c	30.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfb…de25backed Over	76c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	111	44.1%49 W · 62 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over	71c	29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over	71c	26.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over	65c	23.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	78c	23.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	65c	21.07$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.42	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	102	65.7%67 W · 35 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	111	74.8%83 W · 28 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Over	79c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	60c	18.88$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.57	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	80c	17.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	79c	15.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	96	66.7%64 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over	80c	15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over	77c	14.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c2…eab6backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5this page
England vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: England (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)England won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event