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Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Under47c70,708$32,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,756.597762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c16,075$8,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,629.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c8,281$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.051,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…5afdbacked Over50c5,800$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over52c5,469$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over51c5,191$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcad…7931backed Over50c4,448$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3b…f1b2backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over51c3,949$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c3,738$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8695843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1920262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under43c2,771$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.631643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Over55c2,706$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c2,548$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c2,345$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.1850850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under46c2,175$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.571241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over55c2,069$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.133959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0607859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Over15c1,400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c1,267$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.7129343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,208$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.451,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over50c1,019$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.2819026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c995$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.312,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Under51c971.55$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.061838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c809.86$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c763.21$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over55c732$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.632855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over57c729$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.532347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over56c712.5$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37821957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over50c601.36$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.682045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c588.82$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over50c578.98$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.494528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over51c505.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over55c464.77$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5623749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c448.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over55c444.07$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.247266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over57c443.37$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7211252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over57c435.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over55c432.72$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9324653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c409.67$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over55c382.59$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.423,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Over52c378.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over55c355.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7620156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over55c350.59$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7610958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over43c324.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.931,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over49c307.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c299.26$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3323751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over55c297.82$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7421953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.64351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over54c265.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.472,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under50c260.8$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.42045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.513643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Over47c207.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.166538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c199.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9750450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c198.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011545.2%52 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over55c192.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9425554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c183.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.962,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…8657backed Under46c179$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe12b…a340backed Over50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8960%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over54c172.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.111,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…261abacked Under46c161$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c158.22$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.411,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Under50c152$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.82560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4129…751fbacked Under46c146$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under54c142.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over50c141.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c123.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over55c122.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2317158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over41c121.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.822250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ec…6920backed Over67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over29c113.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0a…caf5backed Over49c113.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.421711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-79.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.519047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over55c109$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.953647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over51c100.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.12433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.